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中国管理科学

中国管理科学 ›› 2010, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1): 1-8.

• 论文 •    下一篇

战略过程：一个基于决策的数理模型

倪得兵, 戴春爱, 唐小我   

  1. 电子科技大学经济与管理学院, 四川 成都 610054
  • 收稿日期:2009-03-05 修回日期:2009-10-30 出版日期:2010-02-28 发布日期:2010-02-28
  • 作者简介:倪得兵(1973- ),男(汉族),重庆永川市人,电子科技大学管理学院,博士,副教授,研究方向:博弈理论与应用、战略过程与决策.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(70932005);国家自然科学基金资助项目(70702025);电子科技大学中青年学术带头人计划项目

Strategy Process： A Decision-Based Mathematical Model

NI De-bing, DAI Chun-ai, TANG Xiao-wo   

  1. School of Management and Economics, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 610054, China
  • Received:2009-03-05 Revised:2009-10-30 Online:2010-02-28 Published:2010-02-28

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摘要： 以标准的战略管理过程模型为基础,将战略过程解释为战略状态的演变过程,其中战略状态变化被解释为战略决策和外生随机扰动共同作用的结果,应用随机动态规划模型化战略决策理性。结果表明,采用动态规划技术不仅可以确定战略状态的价值(竞争优势)与相应的最优战略制定决策和战略实施决策序列,还可以识别战略过程中的信息揭示对企业价值(竞争优势)的影响。这些结果在一定程度上逻辑一致地支持了战略管理中以理性决策为基本假设的设计学派和计划学派的观点。

关键词: 战略, 战略过程, 战略决策, 动态规划

Abstract: Based on a standard model of strategic management,this paper interprets the strategy process as a process of the evolution of strategy states,where any change is caused by strategic decisions and exogenous stochastic disturbances,and employs the dynamic programming technique to model strategic decisionmaking rationality.The results show that the employment of dynamic programming can not only determine the value (competitive advantage) of a given strategy state,the corresponding sequence of optimal strategy-formulation,and the strategy-implementation decisions,but also identify the effects of the information revelation in a strategy process on a firm's (or an organization's) value (competitive advantage).These results,to some dgree,logically consistently support the design and planning schools in strategic management,both of which base their findings on rational decision-making.

Key words: strategy, strategy process, strategic decision-making, dynamic programming

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