主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

中国管理科学 ›› 2010, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1): 156-160.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

具有周期特征的末阶段飞行员资源紧张度评估方法研究

谭显春, 程龙信, 池宏, 许保光, 赵宇   

  1. 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所, 北京 100190
  • 收稿日期:2009-07-27 修回日期:2010-01-06 出版日期:2010-02-28 发布日期:2010-02-28
  • 作者简介:谭显春(1974- ).女(汉族).新疆石河子人.中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所.副研究员.博士,研究方向:工业工程.风险管理、低碳经济.
  • 基金资助:

    企业委托项目(0600641401)

Study on a Pilot Tightness Evaluating Model for the Final Stage of Cycle Time for Airways

TAN Xian-chun, CHENG Long-xin, CHI Hong, XU Bao-guang, ZHAO Yu   

  1. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
  • Received:2009-07-27 Revised:2010-01-06 Online:2010-02-28 Published:2010-02-28

摘要: 近年来,随着我国航空业的快速发展,飞行员不足成了很多航空公司发展的制约因素。由于飞行员的飞行时间有周、月、年度飞行小时的约束,航空公司在执行每月第四周的航班计划时,往往由于飞行员前三周飞行时间不平衡,造成利用剩余的飞行员资源完成第四周计划航班任务的紧张状况。本文针对此问题,提出一种评估每月第四周飞行员资源紧张程度的方法。该模型首先按照带队机长可用的飞行小时,将带队机长分为若干类,以各类带队机长的投入数量为投入变量,利用历史数据分析航班任务和飞行员投入之间的关系。利用各类飞行员投入结构比例的约束,计算第四周可用带队机长飞行小时可完成的最大航班任务量,通过与计划航班任务量的比较,评估完成该航班计划的紧张程度,并根据结果在需要预警时,给出不同级别的预警。从而可以使得安全生产关口前移,提高航空公司的安全生产水平,同时为飞行员的培训提供依据。

关键词: 飞行安全, 月飞行任务, 飞行员资源, 紧张度评估

Abstract: With the rapid development of civil aviation in China,the shortage of pilots has become a constraint to airlines.When implementing a monthly flight plan,it will be constantly adjustedfaat is affected by various reasons.As a result,the investment of pilot resources in the first three weeks is usually so much that there aren't enough pilots left for the flight task at the last week in a month,and the pilots' flight task arrangement is always tight.In this paper,a methodology of tightness evaluation of captains to accomplish the flight tasks of the last week in a month is developedfor this problem.The method takes the weekly flight task as the research object,and classifies captains into three classes by their flight time.Then,the relationship between the weekly flight task and the amount as well as the structure of pilots'investment can be developed.Therefore,the amount of the pilots needed and the personnel structure corresponding to the distribution of the pilots'flight time of the last week in a month can be forecasted,and the tightness can be evaluated.Consequently,we can alarm timely and ensure smooth accomplishment of scheduled flight,as well as reasonable allocation of flight training resources.

Key words: flight safety, weekly flight tasks, pilot, tightness evaluation

中图分类号: