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中国管理科学 ›› 2011, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (3): 148-157.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

两层群决策的双平台学习与协调模型

李春好1, 杜元伟2   

  1. 1. 吉林大学管理学院, 吉林长春130025;
    2. 昆明理工大学管理与经济学院, 云南昆明650093
  • 收稿日期:2010-05-17 修回日期:2011-04-29 出版日期:2011-06-30 发布日期:2011-06-30
  • 作者简介:李春好(1967- ),男(汉族),辽宁盖州人,吉林大学管理学院教授,博导,系主任,研究方向:复杂系统管理决策.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70971054);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-09-0419);教育部人文社会科学研究规划资助项目(09YJA630047);教育部科技发展中心“网络时代的科技论文快速共享”研究专项(2009111);吉林省软科学研究项目(20080610);吉林大学杰出青年基金项目(2010);吉林大学“211工程”资助项目(SLJJ-CX)

Double Platform Learning and Coordination Model for Two-Level Group Decision Making

LI Chun-hao1, DU Yuan-wei2   

  1. 1. School of Management, Jilin University, Changchun 130025, China;
    2. Faculty of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China
  • Received:2010-05-17 Revised:2011-04-29 Online:2011-06-30 Published:2011-06-30

摘要: 为解决现有分层决策方法无法反映决策者真实风险态度、难以保证学习与协调效率或效果的问题,构建了决策信息双平台提取模式和双平台学习协调结构,在此基础上提出了决策信息单平台学习修正模型、基元前景价值双平台系统协调模型以及双平台学习协调分析方法。该新模型方法不仅能够就上下两层在知识结构上的分布性认知优势应用学习修正定理有效地消除两层决策者在单平台上的认知偏差,而且还能系统协调双平台上差异性的决策信息,从而保证所做出的是科学有效决策。基于蒙特卡洛模拟的验证结果表明,新模型方法具有科学有效性和实际应用可行性。

关键词: 两层群决策, 价值平台, 风险平台, 双平台学习, 双平台协调, 前景理论

Abstract: There are two draw backs in current decision making approaches,i.e.,the real risk attitudes of decision makers are rarely reflected,and the efficiency or the effectiveness of coordination and learning are difficult to ensure in current approaches.To over come above draw backs,a double plat form mode for deriving decision information and a structure for learning and coordination between double plat forms are established.After that,single platform model for learning and revising decision information,double platform systematic model for coordinating basic prospect values and double plat form learning and coordination analysis method are proposed.The proposed new model and method can not only employ value plat form and risk plat form to derive the decision information efficiently in allusion to two levels'dist ributing know ledge structure,but also coordinate diversity decision making information,and thus to make decision scientifically and effectively.A Monte Carlo simulation case shows the new model and method are scientific,reasonable and well applicable.

Key words: two-level group decision making, value platform, risk platform, double platform learning, double plat form coordination, prospect theory

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