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中国管理科学 ›› 2009, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (3): 183-192.

• 论文 • 上一篇    

基于对应分析的生态评价模型及典型省份的实证研究

迟国泰, 沈一侠, 秦学志   

  1. 大连理工大学管理学院, 辽宁大连 116024
  • 收稿日期:2008-11-07 修回日期:2009-05-20 出版日期:2009-06-30 发布日期:2009-06-30
  • 作者简介:迟国泰(1955- ),男(汉族),黑龙江海伦人,大连理工大学管理学院,教授,博士生导师,管理科学与工程博士,研究方向:复杂系统评价.
  • 基金资助:

    国家社会科学基金重大项目(06&ZD039);大连理工大学人文社会科学研究基金重大项目(DUTHS2007101)

The Ecosystem Evaluation Model Based on Correspondence Analysis and the Empirical Research on 14 Provinces in China

CHI Guo-tai, SHEN Yi-xia, QIN Xue-zhi   

  1. School of Management, Dalian Univ. of Techno, Dalian 116024, China
  • Received:2008-11-07 Revised:2009-05-20 Online:2009-06-30 Published:2009-06-30

摘要: 利用"驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应(DPSIR)"五因素模型构建了生态系统综合评价指标体系的框架,应用离差最大化的方法确定指标权重,应用灰色关联的方法为指标打分,应用对应分析方法建立差别生态改进模型,建立了基于对应分析的综合评价模型。本文的创新与特色一是通过采用DPSIR概念框架构建指标体系,将人的需求、经济发展和社会进步等要素纳入到生态系统评价中,克服了现有生态评价只片面关注环境与资源状况或者只关注环境保护与治理状况的不足。二是通过对应分析同时对典型省和生态指标进行R型和Q型因子分析,在损失最小的情况下,利用最少的维度表示样本和指标的信息。三是通过对应分析图,得出差别生态改进具体方案,以达到有针对性且投资少见效快的生态改观的目的。四是通过在压力准则层中加入自然灾害指数反映自然灾害对生态的影响,改进了DPSIR模型只考虑到人类的活动对于自然环境和资源的压力的片面性。

关键词: 生态系统, 综合评价, DPSIR模型, 对应分析

Abstract: In this paper,we construct the framework of ecosystem comprehensive evaluation index system using Driver-Pressure-State-Impacts-Response (DPSIR) conceptual model. The evaluation model is established using the correspondence analysis method,maximizing deviations methods and grey relational method The contributions of this paper come from four aspects. Fusty,we constructed index system using DPSIR conceptual framework,and bring human demand,economic development and social progress into the system. It is much better than the existing researches which only consider the status of environment and resources or the status of environmental protection and pollution treatment. Second,based on the correspondence analysis,we apply the R and Q factor analysis simultaneously to the provinces and the indicators,using the least dimensions to show most of the information. Third,through the graph of correspondence analysis,we acquired a distinctive ecosystem project. To reach the aim which enhances the level of environment effectively,different provinces should improve different indicators. And we analyze the affinitive indicators is good or bad for each province. Fourth,through adding natural disaster index into the pressure layer of the index system,the paper described the effect of natural disaster on ecosystem. This improved the existing DPSIR model which only considered the effect of human activity on ecosystem.

Key words: ecosystem, comprehensive evaluation, DPSIR model, correspondence analysis

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