基于多目标规划的中国可持续发展模式优化研究

中国管理科学 ›› 2004, Vol. ›› Issue (5): 91-96.

基于多目标规划的中国可持续发展模式优化研究

陈长杰¹, 马晓微², 魏一鸣², 傅小锋³

1. 中国科学院生物物理研究所北京 100101;
2. 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所北京 100080;
3. 中国21世纪议程管理中心北京 100089

收稿日期:2003-10-21 修回日期:2003-07-29 出版日期:2004-10-28 发布日期:2012-03-07
基金资助:
"十五"国家科技攻关计划重点项目(2001-BA608B-15)

Optimization Research on the Development Mode of Chinese Sustainable Development Based on the Multi-Objective Programming

CHEN Chang-jie¹, MA Xiao-wei², WEI Yi-ming², FU Xiao-feng ³

1. Institute of Biophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
2. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China;
3. The Administrative Center for China’s Agenda21, Beijing 100089, China

Received:2003-10-21 Revised:2003-07-29 Online:2004-10-28 Published:2012-03-07

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文以人口(Population)、资源(Resource)、经济(Economy)、环境(Environment)和科技(Science & Technolo gy)为核心,构造了PREEST系统模型。以PREEST系统为对象,运用主成分分析法对1987-2001年度中国的可持续发展水平进行了综合评价;借助多目标规划理论,构建了中国可持续发展多目标集成模型,并以"十五"计划纲要为基准,开展了中国可持续发展规划研究的实证分析。在此基础上,通过对"十五"期间中国可持续发展传统模式和规划模式的对比分析,就中国人口、资源、经济、环境和科技等领域的协调发展提出了政策建议。

关键词: 可持续发展, PREEST系统, 综合评价, 多目标规划, 发展模式

Abstract: The PREEST system model has been put forward based on the population,resource,economy,envi-ronment and science&technology.Then,the integrated evaluation of the sustainable development level in China has been completed during1987～2001by dint of the principal component analysis.At the same time,a multi-objective integrated model for the sustainable development of China has been formulated according to the theory of the multi-objective programming,and a demonstration analysis about the programming research of Chinese sustainable development is introduced with the goal of Chinese10 th Five-Year Plan.Finally,some advice has been given based on the contrast analysis between the traditional development mode and the programming devel-opment mode.

Key words: sustainable development, PREEST system, multi-objective programming, development mode

中图分类号:

F830

陈长杰, 马晓微, 魏一鸣, 傅小锋. 基于多目标规划的中国可持续发展模式优化研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2004, (5): 91-96.

CHEN Chang-jie, MA Xiao-wei, WEI Yi-ming, FU Xiao-feng . Optimization Research on the Development Mode of Chinese Sustainable Development Based on the Multi-Objective Programming[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2004, (5): 91-96.

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