对称信息下具有需求预测更新的供应链协调模型分析

中国管理科学 ›› 2005, Vol. ›› Issue (1): 37-41.

对称信息下具有需求预测更新的供应链协调模型分析

陈金亮, 徐渝, 贾涛

西安交通大学管理学院, 西安, 陕西, 710049

收稿日期:2004-06-17 修回日期:2004-12-27 出版日期:2005-02-28 发布日期:2012-03-07
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金海外杰出青年基金B类项目(70028102)

Supply Chain Coordination Model in Demand Forecast Update Conditions with Symmetric Information

CHEN Jin-liang, XU Yu, JIA Tao

School of Management, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China

Received:2004-06-17 Revised:2004-12-27 Online:2005-02-28 Published:2012-03-07

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对传统预测与订货模式对不确定的需求缺乏反应的问题,建立了具有需求预测更新的订货模式模型,比较了两种订货模式在集中决策供应链中的收益和最优订货水平。而后针对分散决策供应链中具有需求预测更新的批发价合同引起的双重边际化问题,利用收入分配合同进行分析并得到解决方案及一些有用的结论。

关键词: 供应链协调, 需求预测更新, 供应链合同, 对称信息, 贝叶斯分析

Abstract: Facing the lack of response to uncertain demand in traditional ordering mode,based on the model of the demand forecast update ordering mode,compared the profit of supply chain and the optimal ordering level of the two different mode.Then,in order to solve the double marginalization problem induced by the wholesale price contract in demand forecast update mode,the revenue sharing contract model was made,the solution to the problem and some useful conclusions were drawn.

Key words: supply chain coordination, demand forecast update, supply chain contract, symmetric information, Bayesian analysis

中图分类号:

F273
C931

陈金亮, 徐渝, 贾涛. 对称信息下具有需求预测更新的供应链协调模型分析[J]. 中国管理科学, 2005, (1): 37-41.

CHEN Jin-liang, XU Yu, JIA Tao. Supply Chain Coordination Model in Demand Forecast Update Conditions with Symmetric Information[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2005, (1): 37-41.

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