实施建筑节能标准的宏观经济和环境影响测算模型研究

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文首先对实施建筑节能标准的主要经济和环境影响方面进行系统分析,然后对投入产出局部闭模型进行了改进,并结合数量经济和静态比较的方法,创建了实施建筑节能标准的宏观经济和环境影响测算模型。该模型可以从6个主要方面详细测算实施建筑节能标准对各个产业部门的直接经济影响、直接环境影响、完全经济影响和对GDP的总影响。模型测算结果表明,建筑节能的节能和减排效果显著,同时对GDP有小幅的拉动作用,随着建筑节能标准实施率的增加,它对GDP的拉动强度呈先增后减的趋势。最后根据对测算结果的分析,提出推广实施建筑节能标准的具体方法建议。

关键词: 建筑节能, 完全经济影响, 环境影响, 敏感度分析, 投入产出分析

Abstract: Based on the systematic analysis, with the improved local closed input-output model, quantitative economic methods and static comparison, a model to evaluate the impacts of implementation of building energy efficiency standards on macro economic and environmental attributes is created. This model can evaluate its direct economic impact, direct environmental impact and total economic impacts by sector and on GDP from 6 main respects. after applie the model in two scenarios, we get that the implementation of building energy efficiency standards can reduce a large amount of pollutant emissions and increase the GDP a little bit at the same time. The sensitive analysis showes that with the implementation rate of building energy efficiency standards increases, its pulling effect on GDP firstly increases and then decreases. Relevant policy recommendations are put forward finally.

Key words: building energy efficiency, total economic impacts, environmental impacts, sensitive analysis, input-output analysis

中图分类号:

F830.9

刘秀丽, 杨翠红, 汪寿阳. 实施建筑节能标准的宏观经济和环境影响测算模型研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2012, (1): 152-160.

LIU Xiu-li, YANG Cui-hong, WANG Shou-yang. Evaluating Research on the Impacts of Implementation of Building Energy Efficiency Standards on Macro Economic and Environmental Attributes[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2012, (1): 152-160.

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