中国生产服务业与制造业共生演化模型实证研究

中国管理科学 ›› 2012, Vol. ›› Issue (2): 176-183.

中国生产服务业与制造业共生演化模型实证研究

庞博慧

哈尔滨商业大学管理学院, 黑龙江哈尔滨 150028

收稿日期:2010-02-05 修回日期:2011-12-06 出版日期:2012-04-29 发布日期:2012-04-25
基金资助:
国家软科学研究计划项目(2005DGQ4D148);黑龙江省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目(12512074)

Research About Symbiotic Evolutionary Model of Producer Services and Manufacturing Industry in China

PANG Bo-hui

College of Management, Harbin University of Commerce, Harbin 150076, China

Received:2010-02-05 Revised:2011-12-06 Online:2012-04-29 Published:2012-04-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文从共生理论视角来研究生产服务业与制造业的互动发展,基于生态学种群Logistic共生演化模型,对生产服务业与制造业互动阶段进行划分并给出具体特征表现,生产服务业与制造业的共生动态演化过程可由分段Logistic曲线叠加进行描述,建立最大环境容量模型,对中国1983-2007年的生产服务业和制造业共生演化进行了实证分析。结果表明,生产服务业和制造业都处于成长期,二者之间互动发展属于非对称互惠共生模式, 生产服务业对制造业的影响大于制造业对生产服务业的影响。

关键词: 生产服务业, 制造业, 共生, 演化模型

Abstract: In this paper, the interactive development mechanism between producer services and manufacturing industry is explained based on biologic symbiosis theory. Based on symbiotic evolution Logistic model, the interactive stage of producer services and manufacturing is divided and the specific characteristics are given. A segmented Logistic function is used to describe accurately the symbiotic evolution process. Based on the data of China from 1983 to 2007, the symbiotic evolutionary process of producer services and manufacturing industry is analyzed practically. And the maximum population capacities are also modeled and predicted. The results show that the interaction between product services and manufacturing are asymmetric mutualism mode and are both in growth stage. Production services play a more important role in promoting the development for manufacturing, manufacturing have a relatively weak effect on producer services.

Key words: producer services, manufacturing industry, symbiosis, evolutionary model

中图分类号:

C931

庞博慧. 中国生产服务业与制造业共生演化模型实证研究 [J]. 中国管理科学, 2012, (2): 176-183.

PANG Bo-hui. Research About Symbiotic Evolutionary Model of Producer Services and Manufacturing Industry in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2012, (2): 176-183.

参考文献

[1] Francois,J.,Woerz,J.. Producer Services, Manufacturing Linkages, and Trade[J]. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade,2008,8(3):199-229.
[2] Walsh, J.Deery,S.. Refashioning organizational boundaries: Outsourcing customer service work[J]. Journal of Management Studies, 2006,(43): 557-582.
[3] 吕铁. 生产者服务业与制造业互动发展[J]. 中国产业经济,2007,(2):59-65.
[4] 陈伟达,张宇. 生产者服务业对制造业竞争力提升的影响研究—基于我国投入产出表的实证分析[J]. 东南大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2009,(11): 67-74.
[5] Daniels,P.W..Economic development and Producer services growth:the APEC experience[J]. Asia Pacific ViewPoint,1998,(39):145-150.
[6] 郑吉昌,夏晴.论生产者服务业的发展与分工的深化[J]. 科技进步与对策, 2005,(2):13-15.
[7] 陈宪,黄建锋. 分工、互动与融合:服务业与制造业关系演进的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2004,(10):65-76.
[8] Han,M.H.. Empirical study for the development of producer services and upgrading of manufacturing from the perspective of industrial interaction[J]. Advances in Intelligent and Soft Computing, 2011, 106:249-253.
[9] Porter, M. E..Clusters and new economics of competetion [J].Harvard Business Review, 1998,(11): 77-91.
[10] Castaldi,C.. The relative weight of manufacturing and services in Europe: An innovation perspective[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2009,76(6):709-722.
[11] Gao, J., Yao, Y.L.,Zhu, V.C. Y., Sun, L.Y., Lin, L.. Service-oriented manufacturing: A new product pattern and manufacturing paradigm[J]. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 2011,22(3):435-446.
[12] Tien, J. M.. Manufacturing and services: From mass production to mass customization[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,2011,20(2):129-154.
[13] 朱海燕,魏江,周泯非.知识密集型服务业与制造业交互创新机理研究[J].西安电子科技大学学报,2008,(18):1-7.
[14] Forsman, H.. Innovation capacity and innovation development in small enterprises. A comparison between the manufacturing and service sectors. Research Policy[J].2011,40(5):739-750.
[15] Castellacci,F.. Technological paradigms, regimes and trajectories: Manufacturing and service industries in a new taxonomy of sectoral patterns of innovation[J]. Research Policy,2008,37(6-7):978-994.
[16] 孔德洋,徐希燕.生产服务业与制造业互动关系研究[J].经济管理,2008,(12):74-79.
[17] 胡晓鹏,李庆科. 生产服务业与制造业共生关系研究[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2009,(2):33-46.
[18] 唐强荣,徐学军,何自力.生产服务业与制造业共生发展模型及实证研究[J].南开管理评论,2009,(12): 20-26.
[19] 徐学军,唐强荣,樊奇. 中国生产服务业与制造业种群的共生——基于 Logistic生长方程的实证研究[J].管理评论,2011,23 (9):152-159.
[20] 郭莉,苏敬勤. 基于Logistic增长模型的工业共生稳定分析[J]. 预测,2005,24(1): 295-296.
[21] 王子龙,谭清美,许箫迪. 企业集群共生演化模型及实证研究[J]. 中国管理科学,2006,(14): 141-147.