中国管理科学 ›› 2023, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (10): 225-233.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2020.1541
收稿日期:
2020-08-08
修回日期:
2020-06-10
出版日期:
2023-10-15
发布日期:
2023-10-20
通讯作者:
金卫健
E-mail:jinweijian88@126.com
基金资助:
Wei-jian JIN(),Hao XU,Chuan-feng HUANG,Cheng-zhi JIANG
Received:
2020-08-08
Revised:
2020-06-10
Online:
2023-10-15
Published:
2023-10-20
Contact:
Wei-jian JIN
E-mail:jinweijian88@126.com
摘要:
政府在面临大规模传染疫情应急管理时存在应对能力不足的情形,这与没有开展关键因素识别有关。结合新冠疫情,提出基于前景理论的大规模传染疫情应急管理决策方法。该方法将专家给出的决策矩阵作为参考点,将应急管理实际参与方给出的决策矩阵作为决策评价点,其中决策评价点是在充分考虑评价者的决策心理和知识结构基础上,采用实数和区间数构建的混合评价信息,然后利用二元语义将混合评价信息进行转化,保障评价信息的一致性,接着建立前景初始直接关联矩阵,通过决策步骤识别出五个关键因素,同时比较了专家评价者、所有评价方综合和新决策方法的决策结果,提出了健全疫情响应直报机制、增强防疫物资储备能力、提高疫情物资调度能力、提高应急决策指挥能力和加强基层网格化防控能力的决策建议。
中图分类号:
金卫健,徐浩,黄传峰,蒋诚智. 基于前景理论的大规模传染疫情应急管理决策研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2023, 31(10): 225-233.
Wei-jian JIN,Hao XU,Chuan-feng HUANG,Cheng-zhi JIANG. Research on Emergency Management Decision of Large-scale Epidemic Based on Prospect Theory[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2023, 31(10): 225-233.
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