为了研究国际集装箱货运代理市场中的逆向选择行为,本文基于双边市场理论和信息不对称理论,构建了基于双边信息不对称结构的逆向选择模型。基于双边信息不对称的假设,本文证明了在国际集装箱货运代理市场上存在双边的信息不对称所导致的逆向选择行为,并以国际集装箱货运代理市场阐明了双边市场中逆向选择行为的表现形式,同时给出了在双边市场环境下治理逆向选择问题的对策。主要结论包括:(1)如果没有抵消机制,国际集装箱货运代理市场趋于消亡;(2)国际集装箱货运代理服务的质量(对货主和/或船公司)越重要,越容易出现逆向选择。(3)如果不进行信息改进,政府以社会福利最大化的治理不能消除国际集装箱货运代理市场的逆向选择行为。
There is a large number of illegal small freight forwarding companies in china. The unfair competition behaviors of these small freight forwarding companies disturb the market order and reduce the service quality. But why can these non-formal freight forwarding companies exist? This is the core problem to be solved in this paper. In this paper, the freight forwarding market is assumed to be a typical principal-agent market and two-sided market. In order to study the adverse selection behavior of the international container freight forwarding market based on the theory of two-sided market and the theory of asymmetric information, an adverse selection model is constructed based on two-sided asymmetric information structure. In the two-sided markets model, assuming that the owner of cargo is 1, the shipping company is 2, the international container freight forwarding company is. At the same time, assuming that the quality of service provided by international container freight forwarding companies is s, the average quality is s. Because of the information asymmetry, international container freight forwarding companies, the shippers and the owners of cargo, have different degree information about the quality of services. Each assesses their utilities according to their own understanding of the service quality. (1) When the owner choice a particular freight forwarding company's service, their utility assessed by themselves is:u11=U11(n2,s,s,p1). Here n2 is the number of the shippers that have cooperation relation with the selected freight forwarding company, p1 is the price the owner is willing to pay. (2) When the owner choice a particular freight forwarding company's service, their utility assessed by international container freight forwarding companies is:ui1=Ui1(n2,s,s,p2). Here p2 is the price charged by the international container freight forwarding companies. (3)When the shipper choice a particular freight forwarding company's service, their utility assessed by themselves is:u22=U22(n1,s,s,c1). Here n1 is the number of the owners that have cooperation relation with the selected freight forwarding company, c1 is the commission the shipper is willing to pay. (4) When the shipper choice a particular freight forwarding company's service, their utility assessed by international container freight forwarding companies is:ui2=Ui2(n1,s,s,c2). Here c2 is the commission charged by international container freight forwarding companies. Under the condition of proper control of the parameters, the equilibrium solution of the two-sided markets is solved. Through the analysis of the equilibrium results, our conclusions are as follows: (1) if there were no offsetting mechanism, international container freight forwarding market tends to die out; (2) The more important of the service quality of international container freight agent (for owners and/or shipping company), the more prone to adverse selection; (3) if the information is not improved, the government cannot eliminate the adverse selection behavior of the international container freight agency market through the governance of social welfare maximization. In this paper, the reliability of the conclusions is proved by numerical simulation and market cases. This study provides a new way to study the adverse selection problem in the principal-agent market use the theory of two-sided markets.is:u22=U22(n1,s,,c1). Here n1 is the number of the owners that have cooperation relation with the selected freight forwarding company, c1 is the commission the shipper is willing to pay. (4) When the shipper choice a particular freight forwarding company's service, their utility assessed by international container freight forwarding companies is:u2i=U2i(n1,s,,c2). Here c2 is the commission charged by international container freight forwarding companies. Under the condition of proper control of the parameters, the equilibrium solution of the two-sided markets is solved. Through the analysis of the equilibrium results, our conclusions are as follows: (1) if there were no offsetting mechanism, international container freight forwarding market tends to die out; (2) The more important of the service quality of international container freight agent (for owners and/or shipping company), the more prone to adverse selection; (3) if the information is not improved, the government cannot eliminate the adverse selection behavior of the international container freight agency market through the governance of social welfare maximization. In this paper, the reliability of the conclusions is proved by numerical simulation and market cases. This study provides a new way to study the adverse selection problem in the principal-agent market use the theory of two-sided markets.
[1] 中华人民共和国商务部对外贸易公司.商务部、国家工商行政管理总局关于国际货物运输代理企业登记和管理有关问题的通知[EB/OL].[2005-02-16].http://wms.mofcom.gov.cn/article/history/l/200502/20050200354357.shtml.
[2] 长风网.中国国际货代现状分析.[EB/OL].[2013-05-27].http://cfnet.org.cn/news/textdet-4-413.html.
[3] 马春琼. 中小型货代企业生存现状以及发展对策研究[D]. 杭州:浙江工业大学, 2015.
[4] 冯根福. 双重委托代理理论:上市公司治理的另一种分析框架——兼论进一步完善中国上市公司治理的新思路[J]. 经济研究, 2004,(12):16-25.
[5] Boik A. Intermediaries in two-sided markets:An empirical analysis of the US cable television industry[J]. American Economic Journal Microeconomics, 2016, 8(1):256-282.
[6] Min K K, Song I E. Measuring the impact of competition on pricing behaviors in a two-sided market[J]. Asia Marketing Journal, 2014, 16(1):35-69.
[7] Akerlof G A. The market for lemons:Quality, uncertainty and market mechanism[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1970, 84(3):488-500.
[8] Rose C. Equilibrium and adverse selection[J]. Rand Journal of Economics, 1992, 24(4):559-569.
[9] Kessler A S. Revisiting the lemons market[J]. International Economic Review, 2010, 42(1):25-41.
[10] Navarro, Noemí, Asymmetric information, word-of-mouth and social networks:From the market for lemons to efficiency[R].Discussion Paper,Center for Operations Research and Econometrics,2006.
[11] Wadleigh J, Drew J, Moore T. The e-commerce market for "lemons":Identification and analysis of websites selling counterfeit goods[C]//Proceedings of the 24th International Conference on World Wide Web,Florence,Italy,May 18-22,2015.
[12] 中国航运网.货代企业上演"生死时速"[EB/OL].[2016-04-27].http://www.cnhangyun.com/news/article/info/id/75636.html.
[13] 吴元元. 信息基础、声誉机制与执法优化——食品安全治理的新视野[J]. 中国社会科学, 2012,(6):115-133.
[14] Przepiorka W. Buyers pay for and sellers invest in a good reputation:More evidence from eBay[J]. Journal of Socio-Economics, 2013, 42:31-42.
[15] 李玲芳, 洪占卿. 关于双向声誉机制的作用机理及有效性研究[J]. 管理科学学报, 2015,18(2):1-12.
[16] 刘克宁, 宋华明. 不对称信息下创新产品研发外包的甄别契约设计[J]. 中国管理科学, 2014, 22(10):52-58.
[17] 朱军, 顾为东, 史致远. 代理人信息租金抽取的贝叶斯优化与配置效率均衡分析[J]. 中国管理科学, 2012, 20(4):136-143.
[18] 潘勇. 论电子商务市场中的"柠檬"问题——理论模型与实践意义[J]. 科研管理, 2003, 24(5):103-108.