针对投入产出价格影响模型中的两个假设：不考虑从动部门产品价格变动后，主动部门产品价格的再次调整和不考虑消费者最终需求量变化对部门产出和产品价格的反馈作用，本文对投入产出价格模型做出了进一步发展和改进，构建了在碳交易机制下的全局价格传导模型，以此来分析碳交易机制对国民经济各部门产品价格、产出和利润的影响程度，识别碳交易政策实施过程中需要关注的部门，为决策制定提供依据，从而保证各部门的平稳发展。仿真研究结果表明，在政策实施中期内，一些部门如水的生产和供应业、开采辅助服务及其他采矿业、电力热力的生产与供应，表现出对政策的敏感，利润变化率相对较大。因此，在碳交易政策实施时，可对这些敏感行业进行补贴，以减少政策带来的不利影响。
Two assumptions of the traditional input-output price model are: not to consider the price adjustment of the initiative industries and not to consider the feedback effect of consumption final demand change on industry output. This paper makesa new development and an improvement on the traditional input-output price model by relaxing those two assumptions, and proposes the global price transmission model under the carbon emission trading mechanism, which can be used to analyze the short-term and medium-term impact of carbon emission trading mechanism on the production cost and price of national economic industries. This analysis can identify the industries to which more attention should be paid, in order to ensure the successful implementation of carbon trading policy. The simulation results show that, after the police implementation, some industries, such as production and supply of tap water, other minerals mining and dressing, production and supply of electric power, are sensitive to the policy and have relatively large profit percentage change.
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