主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院
论文

考虑发电商异质性的双寡头电力市场减排锦标博弈分析

展开
  • 1. 中山大学山岭南(大学)学院, 广东 广州 510275;
    2. 重庆大学经济与工商管理学院, 重庆 400044

收稿日期: 2016-01-22

  修回日期: 2016-07-04

  网络出版日期: 2018-02-10

基金资助

国家自然科学基金资助项目(71373297);国家社会科学基金重点资助项目(15AZD014);重庆市研究生科研创新项目(CYB14004)

Game Analysis of Mitigation Tournament Considering Generator Heterogeneity in Duopoly Electricity Market

Expand
  • 1. Lingnan(University) College, SunYat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China;
    2. School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China

Received date: 2016-01-22

  Revised date: 2016-07-04

  Online published: 2018-02-10

摘要

考虑电网公司利用减排锦标机制开发发电侧潜在减排空间,对发电商初始调度禀赋与减排能力等影响因素进行参数定义,构建双寡头发电商参与减排竞争的最优决策模型。分别求解出不同强势发电商数量时均衡的边际获胜概率及其最优减排努力程度,并对此三种博弈结构下的均衡结果进行了比较分析。由于减排锦标中存在强者失败心理损失与弱者胜利心理收益,将模型拓展到考虑发电商减排决策社会比较的行为经济学模型,并给出了模型的最优解与行为参数之间满足的解析关系。研究结果表明:在二人对称减排锦标中,不论强势发电商数量如何,同一情形下参与者均衡的减排量都始终相等。但是与两种同质发电商竞争情形相比,作为电网公司对发电商异质性界定的政策响应,强、弱者均会选择降低各自最优的减排水平;与基本模型相比,在考虑心理因素的广义模型中不同类型发电商的均衡减排努力程度都会提高,且各自增量均与行为参数值正相关。异质发电商竞争下最优减排水平不再恒相等,且也不一定小于同质情形时的均衡值。

本文引用格式

黄守军, 杨俊 . 考虑发电商异质性的双寡头电力市场减排锦标博弈分析[J]. 中国管理科学, 2017 , 25(12) : 68 -77 . DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2017.12.008

Abstract

The grid corporation is considered to develop potential mitigation space in generation side by using mitigation tournament mechanism. The duopolistic optimal decision models of mitigation competition are constructed based on parameter definition of generators' initial dispatching endowment and mitigation capacity. The equilibrium marginal probabilities of winning and optimal mitigation efforts with different superior generators are determined respectively,and the equilibrium results in these three game structures are comparatively analyzed. Due to losing causes superior generator to suffer a psychological loss and vulnerable generator winning garners an additional psychological benefit,the models are extended to behavioral economics models which take into account social comparison of generator's mitigation decision. The analytical relationships between optimal solutions and behavioral parameters are given. It's found that equilibrium mitigation quantities in the same circumstance are always equal,no matter the number of superior generators in a two-player asymmetric tournament. However,compared with the two cases of homogeneous generators competing,both superior and vulnerable generators will choose to decrease their optimal mitigation levels as the policy response of grid corporation defining generator heterogeneity. The equilibrium mitigation efforts of different types of generators in the generalized models considering psychological factors are greater than the results in the basic models,and respective increment is positively correlated with the value of behavior parameter. The optimal mitigation levels under heterogeneous generators competition are no longer identically equal,and not necessarily less than the equilibrium values in homogeneous circumstances.

参考文献

[1] 丁然,康重庆,周天睿,等.低碳电网的技术途径分析与展望[J].电网技术,2011,35(10):1-8.

[2] 黎灿兵,刘玙,曹一家,等.低碳发电调度与节能发电调度的一致性评估[J].中国电机工程学报,2011,31(31):94-101.

[3] Pezzey J C V,Jotzo F. Tax-versus-trading and efficient revenue recycling as issues for greenhouse gas abatement[J].Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,2012,64(2):230-236.

[4] Aatola P,Ollikainen M,Toppinen A. Price determination in the EU ETS market:Theory and econometric analysis with market fundamentals[J].Energy Economics,2013, 36(3):380-395.

[5] 陈启鑫,周天睿,康重庆,等.节能发电调度的低碳化效益评估模型及其应用[J].电力系统自动化,2009,33(16):24-29.

[6] Ockwell D G,Watson J,MacKerron G,et al. Key policy considerations for facilitating low carbon technology transfer to developing countries[J].Energy Policy,2008,36(11):4104-4115.

[7] Saber A Y,Venayagamoorthy G K. Plug-in vehicles and renewable energy sources for cost and emission reductions[J].IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics,2011,58(4):1229-1238.

[8] St?pczyńska-Drygas K,?ukowicz H,Dykas S. Calculation of an advanced ultra-supercritical power unit with CO2 capture installation[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2013,74(10):201-208.

[9] 段宏波,朱磊,范英.中国碳捕获与封存技术的成本演化和技术扩散分析——基于中国能源经济内生技术综合模型[J].系统工程理论与实践,2015,35(2):333-341.

[10] 张谦,王海潜,谢珍建.江苏电网消纳大规模风电的电源规划设计[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(22):60-65.

[11] Caro F,Corbett C,Tan T,et al. Carbon-optimal and carbon-neutral supply chains[R].Working paper,Eindhoven University of Technology,2011.

[12] Jaber M Y,Glock C H,Saadany A. Supply chain coordination with emissions reduction incentives[J].International Journal of Production Research,2013,51(1):69-82.

[13] 李友东,赵道致,夏良杰.低碳供应链纵向减排合作下的政府补贴策略[J].运筹与管理,2014,23(4):1-11.

[14] 徐春秋,赵道致,原白云,等.上下游联合减排与低碳宣传的微分博弈模型[J].管理科学学报,2016,19(2):53-65.

[15] 黄守军,任玉珑,孙睿,等.双寡头电力市场垂直合作减排的随机微分对策模型[J].中国管理科学,2014,22(2):101-111.

[16] 黄守军,陈其安,任玉珑.低碳技术组合应用下纵向合作减排的随机微分对策模型[J].中国管理科学,2015,23(12):94-104.

[17] Lazear E P,Rosen S. Rank-order tournaments as optimum labor contracts[J].Journal of Political Economy,1981,89(5):841-864.

[18] Green J R,Stokey N L. A Comparison of tournaments and contracts[J].Journal of Political Economy,1983,91(3):349-364.

[19] Kini O,Williams R. Tournament incentives,firm risk,and corporate policies[J].Journal of Financial Economics,2012,103(2):350-376.

[20] Franke N,Poetz M K,Schreier M. Integrating problem solvers from analogous markets in new product ideation[J].Management Science,2014,60(4):1063-1081.

[21] 姚洋,张牧扬.官员绩效与晋升锦标赛——来自城市数据的证据[J].经济研究,2013,48(1):137-150.

[22] Franke J. Affirmative action in contest games[J].European Journal of Political Economy,2012,28(1):105-118.

[23] Gürtler O. Collusion in homogeneous and heterogeneous tournaments[J].Journal of Economics,2010,100(3):265-280.

[24] 李晓义,李维安,李建标,等.首位晋升与末位淘汰机制的实验比较[J].经济学(季刊),2010,10(1):227-248.

[25] O'Keeffe M W,Viscusi K,Zeckhauser R J. Economic contests comparative reward schemes[J].Journal of Labor Economics,1984,2(1):27-56.

[26] Steven W,Brian R. Behavioral and welfare effects of tournaments and fixed performance contracts:Some experimental evidence[J].American Journal of Agricultural Economics,2005,87(1):130-146.

[27] Lim N. Social loss aversion and optimal contest design[J].Journal of Marketing Research,2010,47(4):777-787.

[28] Chen Hua,Ham S H,Lim N. Designing multiperson tournaments with asymmetric contestants:An experimental study[J].Management Science,2011,57(5):864-883.

[29] Kahneman D,Tversky A. Prospect theory:An analysis of decision under risk[J].Econometrica,1979,47(2):263-292.

[30] Loewenstein G F,Bazerman M H,Thompson L. Social utility and decision making in interpersonal contexts[J].Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,1989,57(3):426-441.

[31] Amaldoss W,Jain S. Pricing of conspicuous goods:A competitive analysis of social effects[J].Journal of Marketing Research,2005,42(1):30-42.

[32] Amaldoss W,Jain S. Conspicuous consumption and sophisticated thinking[J].Management Science,2005,51(10):1449-1466.
文章导航

/