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Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2009, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (4): 30-38.

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Empirical Study on New Technology Investment Decision Based on Real Options Approach

XING Xiao-qiang1, TONG Yun-huan2   

  1. 1. School of International Business, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China;
    2. Research Center for Technological Innovation, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
  • Received:2008-09-05 Revised:2009-07-07 Online:2009-08-30 Published:2009-08-30

Abstract: Based on the actual survey of high-tech companies in china,this paper tests the influence of different types of uncertainty on new technology investment decision in perspective of real options theory. The results show that the delaying effect of market and policy uncertainty and encouraging effect of technical uncertainty on investment decision are verified empirically in varying degree,while the moderating effects of competitive density and irreversibility on the relationship between uncertain and investment decision are not fully in accordance with the theoretical expectation. The results also bring to light some general rules in investment decision-making within high-tech companies,which can be referred for enterpises to apply the real option approach.

Key words: new technology investment, real option, uncertainty, competitive density, irrever sibility

CLC Number: