主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2004, Vol. ›› Issue (5): 63-68.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Analysis on the Effect of Collaborative Forecasting in Supply Chain

Wang Chuan-xu   

  1. School of Economic and Management, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China
  • Received:2003-12-03 Revised:2004-09-13 Online:2004-10-28 Published:2012-03-07

Abstract: This paper makes a quantitative analysis on the alleviation of bullwhip effect in supply chain through collaborative forecasting.It shows the positive impact that collaborative forecasting utilized by members of a mul-ti-stage supply chain havs on order release quantity variation and demand forecast error variation.Based on the-oretical study and numerical analysis,this paper demonstrates that such fluctuations can be controlled through ef-fective information sharing and collaborative forecasting within the supply chain.

Key words: supply chain, bullwhip effect, moving average, forecasting error

CLC Number: