[1] Johnson L L. The theory of hedging and speculation in commodity futures[J]. Risk Uncertainty & Profit, 1960, 27(2):297-298.[2] Ederington L H. The hedging performance of the new futures markets[J]. Journal of Finance, 1979, 34(1):157 -170.[3] Park H Y, Bera A K. Interest-rate volatility, basis risk and heteroscedasticity in hedging mortgages[J]. Real Estate Economics, 1987, volume 15(2):79-97(19).[4] Engle R. Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of united kingdom inflation [J].Econometrica,1982(4):987-1007.[5] Bollerslev T. Modelling the coherence in short-run nominal exchange rates: a multivariate generalized arch model[J].The Review of Economics and Statistics,1990,72(3):498-505.[6] Tse Y K, Tsui A K C. A multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with time-varying correlations[J].Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,2002(3):351-362.[7] Lamoureux C G, Lastrapes W D.Persistence in variance, structural change, and the GARCH model[J].Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,1990(2):225-234.[8] Fong W M, See K H.A markov switching model of the conditional volatility of crude oil futures prices[J].Energy Economics,2002:71-95.[9] Alizadeh A H, Nomikos N K. A markov regime switching approach for hedging stock indices[J].The Journal of Futures Markets,2004(7):649-674.[10] Lee H T, Yoder J. Optimal hedging with a regime-switching time-varying correlation GARCH model [J].The Journal of Futures Markets,2007(5): 495-516.[11] Lee H T, Yoder J.A bivariate markov regime switching GARCH approach to estimate time varying minimum variance hedge ratios[J].Applied Economics,2007:1253-1265.[12] 付胜华,檀向球.股指期货套期保值研究及其实证分析[J].金融研究,2009(4):113-119.[13] 付剑茹,张宗成. 时变最优套期保值比估计及比较研究——基于卡尔曼滤波在状态空间模型中的应用[J].管理科学学报,2010(12):23-33.[14] 彭红枫,叶永刚.基于修正的ECM-GARCH模型的动态最优套期保值比率估计及比较研究[J].中国管理科学,2007(5):29-35.[15] Kroner K F, Sultan J. Time-varying distributions and dynamic hedging with foreign currency futures 1993(28).[16] 王辉,孙志凌,谢幽篁.中国农产品期货套期保值非对称效应研究[J].统计研究,2012(7):68-74.[17] 赵鹏, 曾剑云. 我国股市周期性破灭型投机泡沫实证研究——基于马尔可夫区制转换方法[J]. 金融研究, 2008, 25(4):174-187.[18] 朱孟楠,刘林,倪玉娟.人民币汇率与我国房地产价格——基于Markov区制转换VAR模型的实证研究[J].金融研究,2011(5):58-71.[19] Parkinson M. The extreme value method for estimating the variance of the rate of return[J].The Journal of Business,1980(1):61-65.[20] Andersen T G, Bollerslev T. Answering the skeptics: yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts[J]. International Economic Review, 1998, 39(4):885-905.[21] Mapa, Jones D S. A range-based GARCH model for forecasting volatility [J].The Philippine Review of Economics,2003(2):73-90.[22] Gray S F. Modeling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime-switching process[J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 1996, 42(1):27-62. |