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Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2017, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (7): 1-10.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2017.07.001

• Articles •     Next Articles

The Short-term and Medium-term Impact of Carbon Trading Mechanism on Chinese Industries

YAN Bing-qian1, QIAO Hai1,2, WANG Shou-yang1,3   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;
    2. Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowlege Management, Chinese Academy of Sciecnces, Beijing 100190, China;
    3. Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
  • Received:2016-05-31 Revised:2016-12-21 Online:2017-07-20 Published:2017-09-25

Abstract: Two assumptions of the traditional input-output price model are: not to consider the price adjustment of the initiative industries and not to consider the feedback effect of consumption final demand change on industry output. This paper makesa new development and an improvement on the traditional input-output price model by relaxing those two assumptions, and proposes the global price transmission model under the carbon emission trading mechanism, which can be used to analyze the short-term and medium-term impact of carbon emission trading mechanism on the production cost and price of national economic industries. This analysis can identify the industries to which more attention should be paid, in order to ensure the successful implementation of carbon trading policy. The simulation results show that, after the police implementation, some industries, such as production and supply of tap water, other minerals mining and dressing, production and supply of electric power, are sensitive to the policy and have relatively large profit percentage change.

Key words: Input-output price influence model, carbon emission trading (CET), price changes, feedback effect

CLC Number: