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Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2020, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (12): 44-53.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2020.12.005

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A Hybrid Modeling Framework and Its Application for Exchange Traded Fund Options Pricing

YANG Chang-hui1,2,3, SHAO Zhen1,2,3, LIU Chen1, FU Chao1,2,3   

  1. 1. School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China;
    2. Key Laboratory of Process Optimization and Intelligent Decision-making(Hefei University of Technology), Ministry of Education, Hefei 230009, China;
    3. Ministry of Education Engineering Research Center for Intelligent Decision-Making & Information System Technologies, Hefei 230009, China
  • Received:2020-08-08 Revised:2020-09-13 Online:2020-12-20 Published:2021-01-11

Abstract: The scientific and reasonable exchange traded fund (ETF) options price contributes to implementing risk hedging function. This complex modeling process needs to consider the economic significance and accurately grasp the market rules. The issue of pricing ETF options is studied and a hybrid ETF options model is proposed. It combines the Nested-LSTM neural network model and the Heston model for the modeling, and dynamically corrects the option pricing deviation. The high-frequency data of ChinaAMC China 50 ETF, Harvest SZSE SME-CHINEXT 300 ETF and Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF are taken as examples to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model. The experiment results show that the volatility characteristics of different types of ETF options prices are significantly different. Therefore, neither the Black-Scholes model nor the Heston model can be adapted to handle complex variation rules of ETF option prices accurately. By introducing Nested-LSTM neural network model into the Heston model, the proposed model can effectively capture the dynamic change rules of different types of ETF options, thus improving the estimation accuracy of ETF option prices effectively.

Key words: option pricing, ETF options, deep neural network, financial risk

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