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Articles

A Unified Model of Momentum and Reversal in Stock Markets Based on Attention Contagion Mechanism

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  • Business school, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China

Received date: 2013-05-13

  Revised date: 2014-01-02

  Online published: 2015-05-20

Abstract

Low participation, irrational investment, and high volatility of stock prices are considered to be typical in China stock market. According to the abovementioned stylized facts, we describe a attentional contagion mechanism underlying the inflow of new investors in a simple asset pricing model and find that that investor attention plays a dual role in the formation of asset prices. On one hand, the limited attention of investors causes the under-reaction to information and price momentum. On the other hand, the attentive investors induce the inexperienced positive-feedback investors to participate the market, which brings about return reversal. As a result, the introduction of attentional contagion mechanism explains the co-existence of momentum and reversal, which sheds light on the understanding of the seperated pricing effects of investor attention on developed and emerging stock markets around the world.

Cite this article

PENG Die-feng, RAO Yu-lei, LEI Xiang-yuan . A Unified Model of Momentum and Reversal in Stock Markets Based on Attention Contagion Mechanism[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2015 , 23(5) : 32 -40 . DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2015.05.005

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