Chinese Journal of Management Science >
2024 , Vol. 32 >Issue 12: 269 - 277
DOI: https://doi.org/10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.1801
Research on Manufacturer's Sourcing Strategies in the Face of Uncertain Supply Disruptions Risk
Received date: 2023-10-30
Revised date: 2024-01-09
Online published: 2025-01-02
More and more suppliers are facing uncertain disruptions， and they do not know if and when disruptions will occur. Underestimating or overestimating the supply reliability may lead to over- or under-sourcing. A signaling game model of supply reliability is constructed for the manufacturer sourcing problem with uncertain supply disruptions risk. Manufacturer can source from a single supplier who is initially uncertain， or supplement from a reliable supplier with high cost， forming dual-sourcing. It focuses on signal quality effects， uncertainty effects and optimal sourcing strategies under different information conditions in this paper. The findings suggest that manufacturer needs to pay information rents to high-reliability supplier to prevent it from imitating low-reliability supplier under supply disruptions information asymmetry. Improving signal quality or reducing uncertainty about disruptions is not necessarily beneficial to the manufacturer， who can reduce the negative effects of information asymmetry by adjusting its sourcing strategies. In addition， when the supplier cost differences are moderate， a larger market size can hedge against the risk of switching sourcing strategies due to poor information.
Key words： information asymmetry; uncertainty; disruptions risk; sourcing strategie
Junjin Wang , Songjun Xu , Jiaguo Liu . Research on Manufacturer's Sourcing Strategies in the Face of Uncertain Supply Disruptions Risk[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024 , 32(12) : 269 -277 . DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.1801
| 1 | Wang Y L， Niu B Z， Guo P F， et al. Direct sourcing or agent sourcing？ Contract negotiation in procurement outsourcing［J］. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management， 2021， 23（2）： 294-310. |
| 2 | Niu B Z， Li J W， Zhang J， et al. Strategic analysis of dual sourcing and dual channel with an unreliable alternative supplier［J］. Production and Operations Management， 2019， 28（3）： 570-587. |
| 3 | Yang Z B， Ayd?n G， Babich V， et al. Supply disruptions， asymmetric information， and a backup production option［J］.Management Science，2009，55（2）： 192-209. |
| 4 | Cai Y J， Choi T M， Zhang J Z. Platform supported supply chain operations in the blockchain era： Supply contracting and moral hazards［J］. Decision Sciences， 2021， 52（4）： 866-892. |
| 5 | Kao Y M， Keskin N B， Shang K. Impact of information asymmetry and limited production capacity on business interruption insurance［J］. Management Science， 2022， 68（4）： 2824-2841. |
| 6 | 潘伟. 基于供应中断风险的模糊多目标订单分配模型［J］. 管理科学学报， 2015， 18（3）： 45-51. |
| Pan W. Fuzzy multi-objective order allocation model with supply disruption［J］. Journal of Management Science in China， 2015， 18（3）： 45-51. | |
| 7 | Ang E， Iancu D A， Swinney R. Disruption risk and optimal sourcing in multitier supply networks［J］. Management Science， 2017， 63（8）： 2397-2419. |
| 8 | Behzadi G， O’Sullivan M J， Olsen T L， et al. Allocation flexibility for agribusiness supply chains under market demand disruption［J］. International Journal of Production Research， 2018， 56（10）： 3524-3546. |
| 9 | Li S S， He Y， Minner S. Dynamic compensation and contingent sourcing strategies for supply disruption［J］. International Journal of Production Research， 2021， 59（5）： 1511-1533. |
| 10 | 余乐安， 王丹萍， 曾能民. 突发事件风险下的供应链重构策略研究［J］. 中国管理科学， 2024，32（9）：93-100. |
| Yu L A， Wang D P， Zeng N M. Supply-Chain reconfiguration strategy under the risk of emergencies［J］. Chinese Journal of Management Science， 2024，32（9）：93-100. | |
| 11 | 王军进， 张白羽， 刘家国. 供应中断风险下具有质量差异的产品组合定价与采购策略［J］. 系统工程理论与实践， 2024，44（3）：1068-1084. |
| Wang J J， Zhang B Y， Liu J G. Pricing and sourcing strategies for a combination of products with quality differentiation under the supply disruption risk［J］. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice， 2024，44（3）：1068-1084. | |
| 12 | 陈崇萍， 卓晓坡， 陈杰. 不同付款方式下供应不确定企业的采购源与定价策略研究［J］. 中国管理科学， 2023， 31（8）： 162-172. |
| Chen C P， Zhuo X P， Chen J. Sourcing and pricing strategies under supply uncertainty with different payment schemes［J］. Chinese Journal of Management Science， 2023， 31（8）： 162-172. | |
| 13 | 董乾东， 李敏. 考虑不同碳排放处理模式的动态供应商选择及采购批量问题研究［J］. 中国管理科学， 2022， 30（8）： 106-116. |
| Dong Q D， Li M. Research on the dynamic supplier selection and lot-sizing by considering different modes dealing with carbon emission［J］. Chinese Journal of Management Science， 2022， 30（8）： 106-116. | |
| 14 | Bimpikis K， Candogan O， Ehsani S. Supply disruptions and optimal network structures［J］. Management Science， 2019， 65（12）： 5504-5517. |
| 15 | 陈敬贤， 梁樑. 外包环境下考虑产品质量的OEM采购战略决策［J］. 管理科学学报， 2018， 21（9）： 38-49. |
| Chen J X， Liang L. OEM’s sourcing strategy for quality in outsourcing［J］. Journal of Management Science in China， 2018， 21（9）： 38-49. | |
| 16 | Li T， Sethi S P， Zhang J. Mitigating supply uncertainty： The interplay between diversification and pricing［J］. Production and Operations Management， 2017， 26（3）： 369-388. |
| 17 | Gu C C， Wei J， Wei Y. Sourcing under competition： The implications of supplier capital constraint and supply chain co-opetition［J］. Transportation Research Part E： Logistics and Transportation Review， 2021， 149： 102262. |
| 18 | 陈崇萍， 陈志祥.供应商产出随机与供应中断下的双源采购决策［J］.中国管理科学，2019，27（6）： 113-122. |
| Chen C P， Chen Z X. Optimal dual-sourcing procurement decisions with suppliers’ random yield and disruptions［J］. Chinese Journal of Management Science， 2019， 27（6）： 113-122. | |
| 19 | Niu B Z， Chen K L， Chen L， et al. Strategic waiting for disruption forecasts in cross-border E-commerce operations［J］. Production and Operations Management， 2021， 30（9）： 2840-2857. |
| 20 | Wang Y M， Gilland W， Tomlin B. Mitigating supply risk： Dual sourcing or process improvement？［J］. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management， 2010， 12（3）： 489-510. |
| 21 | 黄河， 何青， 徐鸿雁. 考虑供应风险和生产成本不确定性的供应链动态决策研究［J］. 中国管理科学， 2015， 23（11）： 56-61. |
| Huang H， He Q， Xu H Y. Supply chain decisions with endogenous effort toreduce supply uncertainty and unit production cost［J］. Chinese Journal of Management Science， 2015， 23（11）： 56-61. | |
| 22 | Li G， Liu M Q， Bian Y W， et al. Guarding against disruption risk by contracting under information asymmetry［J］. Decision Sciences， 2020， 51（6）： 1521-1559. |
| 23 | 王海军， 张瑞娜， 郭羽洪，等. 零售商补贴对供应链可靠性协调策略影响研究［J］. 管理工程学报， 2021， 35（4）： 190-201. |
| Wang H J， Zhang R N， Guo Y H， et al. The impact of retailer subsidy on supply chain reliability coordination strategy［J］. Journal of Industrial Engineering/Engineering Management， 2021， 35（4）： 190-201. | |
| 24 | Gao S Y， Simchi-Levi D， Teo C P， et al. Disruption risk mitigation in supply chains： The risk exposure index revisited［J］. Operations Research， 2019， 67（3）： 831-852. |
| 25 | 秦绪伟， 朱怡美， 蒋忠中，等. 设备供应商服务性能合同设计及其信号传递机制［J］. 中国管理科学，2023，DOI：10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2022.1281 . |
| Qin X W， Zhu Y M， Jiang Z Z， et al. Service-performance-based contract designs for equipment suppliers and their signaling mechanisms［J］. Chinese Journal of Management Science， 2023，DOI：10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2022.1281 . | |
| 26 | Yoon J， Talluri S， Rosales C. Procurement decisions and information sharing under multi-tier disruption risk in a supply chain［J］. International Journal of Production Research， 2020， 58（5）： 1362-1383. |
| 27 | Niu B Z， Mu Z H， Chen L， et al. Coordinate the economic and environmental sustainability via procurement outsourcing in a co-opetitive supply chain［J］. Resources， Conservation and Recycling， 2019， 146： 17-27. |
| 28 | Shao L S， Wu X L， Zhang F Q. Sourcing competition under cost uncertainty and information asymmetry［J］. Production and Operations Management， 2020， 29（2）： 447-461. |
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |