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主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
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Table of Content

    25 November 2026, Volume 34 Issue 11 Previous Issue   
    Transfer Learning and Deep Hedging: Evidence from Chinese Stock Index Options
    Qingdong Xu, Fuwei Jiang, Jie Kang, Ruzheng Tian
    2026, 34 (11):  1-13.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.1405
    Abstract ( 189 )   HTML ( 4 )   PDF (1712KB) ( 48 )   Save

    With the rapid expansion of China’s options market, options have become an increasingly important instrument for risk management in commodity and financial markets. Due to the asymmetric payoff structure of options, sellers face substantial downside risk, making effective hedging strategies essential. Traditional option hedging methods are typically based on mathematical pricing models, most notably the Black–Scholes–Merton (BSM) framework, where the optimal hedge ratio is defined as the option Delta. However, these approaches rely on restrictive assumptions such as constant volatility, continuous price dynamics, and frictionless markets. In practice, transaction costs and market frictions significantly reduce the effectiveness of frequent Delta rebalancing, leaving the problem of optimal hedging in incomplete markets unresolved.Recent advances in deep reinforcement learning (DRL) provide a model-free alternative for option hedging by learning optimal hedging strategies directly from data. Nevertheless, DRL methods suffer from high sample requirements, low data efficiency, and weak tail-risk control, which limit their applicability in real financial markets with scarce data.To address these challenges, a Transfer Learning Deep Hedging (TLDH) framework is proposed that integrates transfer learning with DRL. The core idea is to pretrain a hedging agent in a BSM-based simulated environment, thereby embedding classical hedging knowledge into the agent, and then transfer this knowledge to a real-market environment constructed from historical trading data.The TLDH framework adopts the Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (TD3) algorithm to handle continuous state and action spaces, and incorporates a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) structure to capture temporal dependencies in hedge positions and portfolio returns. Empirical analysis is conducted using high-frequency data from the CSI 300 index options market in China. The proposed method is compared with empirical deep hedging (EDH), sim-to-real deep hedging (SRDH), classical Delta hedging, and cost-adjusted Delta hedging strategies.The results show that TLDH consistently achieves higher Sharpe ratios, lower return volatility, and significantly reduced tail risk. These advantages remain robust across different transaction cost levels and investor risk preferences. Overall, it is demonstrated that combining transfer learning with deep reinforcement learning offers an effective and practical solution for option hedging in real-world incomplete markets, and offers valuable insights for both academic research and artificial intelligence applications in financial practice.

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    Study on the Causality Between International Crude Oil Futures Market and Chinese Stock Index Futures Market
    Xunfa Lu, Kai Liu, Hairong Cui, Kin Keung Lai
    2026, 34 (11):  14-22.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2022.2545
    Abstract ( 15 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1644KB) ( 11 )   Save

    Abundant empirical studies have highlighted that changes in the crude oil futures market are highly related to the stock index futures market. According to the capital market theory, higher underlying costs in connection with increased crude oil futures prices would lead to higher risk of holding the influenced assets. Thus, the increased risk of financial assets probably causes the wild fluctuations of financial stock index. Meanwhile, the performance of financial stock index is bound to impact the production decisions of listed companies and further lead to higher or lower energy consumption, i.e., crude oils. Thereby, one can contend the potential information transfer between the crude oil market and stock market. To this end, this study aims to investigate the causality between international crude oil futures market and Chinese stock index futures market using Liang’s causality analysis. This approach is derived from the information flow, which is a fundamental physics concept, and meets first principles on physics. That is, a causal relation entails a flow of information.Based on the daily data of Brent crude oil futures, WTI crude oil futures and Chinese CSI 300 stock index futures spanning from 16 April 2010 to 23 December 2022, some crucial findings are obtained. Firstly, on the whole, the price changes of international crude oil futures have a significant causal effect on Chinese CSI 300 stock index futures, while the causality from CSI 300 stock index futures to Brent crude oil futures is different from that to WTI crude oil futures, for example, the former is statistically significant at the 5% level, and the latter is not. Secondly, further research based on the dynamic Liang’s causality analysis by using the rolling windows shows that there is a significant causal effect of the price changes of CSI 300 stock index futures on international crude oil futures prices during times of global economic distress, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. Also, there is a significant causal effect of the price changes of international crude oil futures on CSI 300 stock index futures prices after the skyrocketing of VIX and during the stable period of VIX. Finally, the empirical results show that the causal effect of international crude oil futures on CSI 300 stock index futures decreases gradually during the period 2010-2022, while the causal effect in the other way increases gradually. Furthermore, these findings are robust and can provide a reference for academics, market participants, and policymakers to understand the underlying links between international crude oil futures markets and Chinese stock index futures market.

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    Stock Market Investors' Effective Sentiment Mining Based on LSTM Neural Network
    Xiaohong Chen, Xuhang Wang
    2026, 34 (11):  23-32.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.2004
    Abstract ( 20 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (752KB) ( 7 )   Save

    Sentiment can influence investor behavior and then affect the stock market. However, not all sentiment at all points in time can cause stock price fluctuations, so the effectiveness of sentiment profiles needs to be further explored before using them for stock market prediction. The aim of this article is to use an LSTM neural network based approach for mining effective sentiment that can help stock market forecasting.First of all, text analytics is used to construct indicators for reflecting daily investor sentiment based on text data from the East Money Stock Bar. Then LSTM neural model is used to predict individual stocks and the effectiveness of the sentiment under the time points is analyzed which model predicts anomalies. SVM algorithms are used to mine from anomalous time points to obtain effective sentiment. Finally, the effective sentiment features are added to the LSTM model for prediction, comparing the difference between the normal model as well as the model with the addition of unmined sentiment features.The results of the reasearch show that the effectiveness of sentiment under the time points which model predicts anomalies is stronger; the performance of the model with the addition of the effective sentiment is significantly improved, indicating that the mining of valid sentiment can help the model to predict the stock market.Overall, an effective sentiment mining methodology is provided that can be used for stock market prediction. Help and insight are hoped to be given to those who use sentiment features to predict the stock market.

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    The Impact of Green Credit Financing on Manufacturer 's Technology R&D and Licensing Decisions
    Zhibing Lin, Zhiwei Liu
    2026, 34 (11):  33-45.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.1257
    Abstract ( 16 )   HTML ( 3 )   PDF (1300KB) ( 7 )   Save

    With the rapid development of the global economy, the ecological and environmental issues caused by carbon emissions have increasingly become a focal point for both governments and consumers. Driven by both the government and consumers, the R&D of low-carbon technologies has become an effective way for enterprises to achieve sustainable development and enhance their core competitiveness. However, for small and medium-sized manufacturers, the high capital investment required for R&D in low-carbon technologies may impose financial pressures on the enterprises. Green credit financing can alleviate the funding constraints faced by manufacturers during the initial R&D phase, while the licensing of low-carbon technologies can accelerate the recovery of funds. Both factors have a significant impact on R&D-oriented manufacturers.Therefore, to explore the impact of green credit financing on the technology R&D and licensing decisions of manufacturers, models are constructed for manufacturers under both general credit financing and green credit financing, comparing scenarios where technology is not licensed and where it is licensed, within the context of carbon caps and trading mechanisms. The research findings indicate: (1) Regardless of the type of financing model provided by banks, for clean manufacturer, licensing low-carbon technologies can enhance its carbon reduction. Moreover, R&D-oriented manufacturer consistently prefers to license low-carbon technologies; however, non-R&D-oriented manufacturer is only willing to accept technology licensing when the R&D cost coefficient is relatively low. (2) Compared to general credit financing, bank providing green credit can increase the carbon reduction and profits of R&D-oriented manufacturer. This demonstrates that green credit financing is beneficial for R&D-oriented manufacturer in conducting technology R&D. Additionally, it is shown that when the general credit interest rate from banks is low, the provision of green credit financing raises the threshold for non-R&D-oriented manufacturer to accept low-carbon technology licensing; otherwise, green credit financing lowers this threshold. (3) Regardless of whether the R&D-oriented manufacturer licenses its technology, the profits of itself, the retailer, and the bank decrease as the R&D cost coefficient increases. However, the impact of the R&D cost coefficient on the profits of non-R&D-oriented manufacturer also depends on whether they accept technology licensing. Specifically, in the case of not accepting technology licensing, the profits of non-R&D-oriented manufacturer are positively correlated with the R&D cost coefficient, while in the case of accepting licensing, they are negatively correlated. (4) For polluting manufacturer, when the R&D cost coefficient is small, the total carbon emissions of the supply chain under the general credit financing model are higher; when the R&D cost coefficient is large, the total carbon emissions of the supply chain under the green credit financing model are higher. In contrast, for clean manufacturer, the total carbon emissions under the green credit financing model are lower, resulting in less environmental damage.The relevant research results provide a reference for banks in formulating green credit strategies and for manufacturers in making low-carbon innovation decisions.

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    Does the Registration-Based IPO Reform Suppress or Facilitate the Earnings Deterioration of IPO Companies?
    Cheng Xiang, Xueqian Peng, Lixuan Feng
    2026, 34 (11):  46-58.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.2226
    Abstract ( 38 )   HTML ( 2 )   PDF (1130KB) ( 44 )   Save

    The impact of the registration-based IPO reform on the post-listing decline in financial performance—commonly referred to as “earnings deterioration”— is empirically examined by leveraging a quasi-natural experiment based on the pilot implementation of the registration system on the ChiNext board (GEM) of the Chinese A-share market.Using an entropy-balanced sample and a difference-in-differences (DID) model, the empirical results indicate that the degree of earnings deterioration is significantly greater among IPO firms under the registration-based system compared to those under the approval-based system. This conclusion holds across robustness tests, including propensity score matching samples, alternative measures of earnings deterioration, exclusion of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, placebo tests, and parallel trend tests. Further analysis reveals that, compared to IPO companies under the approval-based system, those under the registration-based system engage in higher levels of real earnings management before listing and demonstrate lower utilization rates of raised funds after listing. Additionally, the exacerbation of earnings deterioration for registration-based IPO companies is significantly stronger for those with higher price-to-earnings ratios, greater financing constraints, and lower fund utilization rates. This effect further increases the risk of future stock price crashes for those companies. These findings suggest that the relatively relaxed listing qualifications and higher valuation potential under the registration-based IPO system may encourage IPO companies to prioritize rapid listing for speculative capital raising. This leads to earnings management before listing to increase issuance prices and valuations, while raised funds remain underutilized after listing. The combination of earnings reversal from earnings management and low fund utilization ultimately results in post-listing earnings deterioration.It contributes to the discussion on the effects of China's registration-based IPO reform by exploring its impact on earnings deterioration, offering valuable insights for regulators in advancing reforms and improving the quality of listed companies in the context of the full implementation of the registration-based IPO system in China.

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    The Mechanisms through Which Government Venture Capital Funds Promote Firms’ Digital Transformation
    Zhongqiang Zhou, Zhuoqi Wang, Xiong Xiong
    2026, 34 (11):  59-71.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.2347
    Abstract ( 294 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1326KB) ( 49 )   Save

    The causal effect of government venture capital (GVC) on firms’ digital transformation is evaluated. The staggered rollout of GVC investment policies is exploited as a quasi-natural experiment and estimate a time-varying difference-in-differences (DID) model with firm and year fixed effects using Chinese A-share listed firms from 2006 to 2024. The empirical identification is reinforced through event-study analyses, placebo tests, matched DID estimation, and alternative measures of firms’ digital transformation.The results show that GVC investment significantly enhances firms’ digital transformation. Mechanism analyses indicate that the effect operates through increased digital-related investment, stronger inflows of high-skilled talent, improved corporate governance, and alleviation of financing frictions. The promotion effect is more pronounced in industries with higher concentration and in regions with lower market openness. Furthermore, GVC-induced digital transformation leads to tangible economic outcomes, including higher R&D spending, firm-scale expansion, and increased innovation output, indicating sustained capability building.It contributes micro-level causal evidence on how public equity capital with a market-oriented mandate advances digital transformation in this study. It clarifies the roles of talent agglomeration and governance enhancement in facilitating digital upgrading and documents systematic heterogeneity across industries and regions. Policy implications suggest that GVC should be structured as patient capital with governance-enhancing mechanisms and coordinated with talent programmes and digital infrastructure development to amplify digital dividends.

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    Compliance Governance, Quality Control and the Selection of Sales Channels for Data Products
    Wenjin Zuo, Haoyu Wang, Dengfeng Li
    2026, 34 (11):  72-83.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0294
    Abstract ( 121 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1448KB) ( 27 )   Save

    In recent years, the Chinese government has attached great importance to the development of the data element market, and the scale of the data element market has expanded rapidly. At the same time, there are several problems in China's data element market, such as insufficient supply, poor quality, difficulty in pricing, low proportion of on-exchange trading, high compliance risks in off-exchange trading, imbalance in market supply and demand, and low allocation efficiency of data products. Therefore, studying the mechanism by which compliance governance and quality control operate in the current environment to influence the selection of sales channels for data products is of significant theoretical and practical importance for optimizing the business strategies of data product trading entities and enhancing the market management of data trading departments. The data supply chain in off-exchange trading is composed of a data manufacturer and a data seller. The data manufacturer produces both high-quality and low-quality data products that can replace each other. Due to the lack of effective regulatory measures, the manufacturer has the behavior of “shoddy” which sells both high-quality and low-quality data products to the sellers at the same wholesale price. The seller then sells to the customer at the same retail price. In the on-exchange trading, the data supply chain is composed of a data manufacturer, a data seller and a data trading organization. The data manufacturer sells data products to data sellers, who then sell data products through the data trading organization. Through compliance inputs, the data trading organization identifies and processes low-quality data products sold due to “shoddy” by the manufacturer. The decision-making mechanism of data product quality is studied under different sales channels. A centralized decision-making method is adopted to solve the equilibrium value of variables related to sales channel selection of data product, and the following conclusions are obtained through analysis: (1) In off-exchange trading, the structure and production costs of high-quality and low-quality data products jointly determine the development of the sales channels for data products, an increase in the degree of demand suppression for low-quality data products will lead to a decline in the profits of data product manufacturing and sales enterprises. (2) In on-exchange trading, an increase in the quality control level of data product manufacturers and the cost of compliance governance by data trading institutions will both lead to a decline in the profits of data product production and sales enterprises. (3) The demand for data products in on-exchange trading is higher than that in off-exchange trading, and the profits of data product manufacturers and data product sellers are also higher in on-exchange trading than in off-exchange trading. The stable development of the data element market requires the effective synergy between “quality control” and “compliance governance”. Through theoretical modeling and analysis, the research results provides a theoretical basis for the government to optimize the regulatory system and for enterprises to formulate differentiated channel strategies.

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    Personalization Strategy and Welfare Analysis under Personal Data Ownership Allocation in Competitive Markets
    Haowen Fan, Yulin Zhang
    2026, 34 (11):  84-98.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.2337
    Abstract ( 150 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1063KB) ( 409 )   Save

    In the era of big data, massive consumer data has emerged as a key driver of productivity growth. Firms deliver personalized value to consumers through data-driven personalized services. Although substantial economic value has been generated from large amounts of individual data through personalization, data privacy concerns associated with it have always been a challenge. The allocation of personal data ownership between firms and end-users is widely recognized as an essential measure to address privacy issues of personalized services. Personal data ownership allocation can change the way firms amass and use individual data. Namely, under stringent privacy regulations, consumers are entitled to choose how much data they want to share with firms. The purpose of this study is to examine how data ownership allocation impacts firms’ personalization strategies in competitive markets with privacy concerns, as well as implications for stakeholders. A game-theoretic model is employed to investigate the personalization strategies of competing firms under different data ownership allocations and address the impact of data ownership allocation on firm profits, consumer surplus, and social welfare. Two scenarios are considered: (i) empowering firms with data ownership and (ii) empowering consumers with data ownership. The results reveal that both firms adopt personalized services with firm control over data. However, with consumer control over data, both firms adopt personalized services only if consumer privacy concerns are low and the monetary value of data is high. Assigning data ownership to consumers can mitigate the price competition caused by personalized services; however, firms may end up worse off than when data ownership is assigned to firms themselves. The findings also underscore an autonomy paradox, i.e., empowering consumers to decide how much data to provide for personalized services may not necessarily improve consumer surplus. Assigning data ownership to consumers can improve consumer surplus when consumer privacy concerns are at moderate levels and the monetary value of data is high. This work has implications for firms on personalized service adoption and provides insights for policy makers on the effect of personal data ownership allocation on consumer welfare.

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    Research on Incentive Allocation of Inputs in Multi-centralized Organizations Considering the Degree of Decision-making Autonomy:Reallocation of Scientific and Technological Inputs in Higher Education Institutions
    Xi Xiong, Guoliang Yang, Dequn Zhou, Zhongcheng Guan
    2026, 34 (11):  99-107.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.1332
    Abstract ( 13 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1288KB) ( 9 )   Save

    Whether or not each operating unit in a centralized organization performs in the best interests of the whole system often depends on the incentives in the allocation mechanism. However, the traditional DEA approach is a tool designed to assess past performance, with insufficient recognition of incentives in the allocation mechanism. Considering that operating units belong to different centralized organizations and face different constraints in the technical environment, it is difficult to motivate all units with a single target system. Furthermore, given their varying degrees of decision-making autonomy in resource allocation and production planning, methods for measuring performance using a uniform benchmark are no longer applicable. Therefore, focusing on the characteristics of “decision-making autonomy” and “inter-group heterogeneity”, a DEA-based allocation methodology is proposed, and the “boundary benchmark” is redifined by constructing the appropriate quantity and location of incentive maps to measure efficiency. And then inputs are reallocated based on efficiency values by expanding the scope of compensation and maximizing the incentive effect of the distribution. Finally, an empirical study is conducted using 26 undergraduate institutions in Jiangsu Province as a case example. The proposed allocation scheme exerts positive incentive effects on both efficient and inefficient units, providing a new methodological tool for optimizing the allocation of science and technology inputs in regional higher education institutions.

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    The Impact of Tiered vs. Uniform Pricing on Original Content Investment under Network Externalities
    Qirui Zhu, Qiang Guo, Jiajia Nie, Yi Ye
    2026, 34 (11):  108-119.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.0822
    Abstract ( 79 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1519KB) ( 16 )   Save

    Driven by the escalating costs of content acquisition and the intensification of platform competition, the optimal strategic alignment between pricing structures and original content investment is explored. A game-theoretical model is developed for a video platform operating in a two-sided market, comparing two prevalent pricing regimes: Uniform Pricing (UP) and Tiered Pricing (TP). By incorporating user ad-aversion and network externalities, the platform’s incentive is analyzed to invest in original content and identifies the boundary conditions for investment feasibility.The findings reveal that the impact of investment on user scale depends on a dynamic trade-off between the quality-driven attraction of high-value users and the price-driven loss of ad-sensitive users. Specifically, user ad-aversion is identified as a pivotal threshold: in environments without network externalities, UP provides higher investment feasibility when ad-aversion is low due to maximized ad reach, whereas TP excels in high ad-aversion markets through precise value capture via market segmentation. Crucially, it is found that network externalities fundamentally reconstruct this decision logic. In markets with strong network effects, UP’s “scale-anchoring advantage” can outweigh the benefits of TP, maintaining investment feasibility even in high ad-aversion scenarios by preventing user fragmentation.Furthermore, the influence of network externalities exhibits significant mode-dependence: it shows an inverted U-shaped relationship with investment feasibility under UP, but a monotonic inhibitory effect under TP. These results suggest that for platforms with strong ecosystem attributes, a unified pricing structure may be more conducive to sustainable content investment than complex tiered menus. A theoretical framework is provided for video platforms to synchronize pricing and investment strategies, offering strategic guidance for enhancing commercial sustainability in the digital era.

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    Credit Evaluation Model and Empirical for Imbalanced Data Based on Adaptive BPNN-ACPL
    Lian Yang, Wenxiu Liu, Nana Chai, Baofeng Shi
    2026, 34 (11):  120-129.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.2229
    Abstract ( 134 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1108KB) ( 12 )   Save

    In response to the weak applicability of backpropagation neural network models with Cross Entropy as the objective function to imbalanced samples, especially the low recognition accuracy of default samples that financial institutions focus on, the ACPL (Adaptive Class Perception Loss) function in the field of image recognition is introduced into credit risk assessment to construct a BPNN-ACPL (Back Propagation Neural Network-Adaptive Class Perception Loss) imbalanced credit evaluation model with adaptive adjustment function for sample loss weights.In order to evaluate the performance and robustness of the credit risk prediction model, three real credit data, seven comparative models, five model evaluation criteria, and two different training and testing set partitioning ratios are used. The three empirical data are 1298 farmer data from a small credit institution in China, 2044 farmer data from a large commercial bank in China, and 1000 German credit data publicly released by UCI. The seven comparative models are BPNN-CBCE (Back Propagation Neural Network-Class Balanced Cross Entropy), BPNN-CE (Back Propagation Neural Network-Cross Entropy), XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting), SVM (Support Vector Machine), DT (Decision Tree), RF (Random Forest), and KNN (K-Nearest Neighbors). The five evaluation criteria are ACC (Accuracy), AUC (Area under the ROC curve), NDR (Non-default recall), DR (Default recall), and GM (Geometric mean). The ratio of dividing the two different training and testing sets is 9∶1 and 7∶3, respectively. Empirical findings show that compared to the BPNN-CBCE model constructed based on sample loss reweighting, the proposed model has advantages in improving the recognition of default samples and avoiding misjudgment of non-default samples; Compared with traditional backpropagation neural network models and shallow machine learning models, the proposed model has significant effects in identifying defaulting customers and effectively distinguishing between the two types of customers; The proposed model demonstrates robust credit risk prediction performance on multiple credit datasets. Introducing an adjustment term in the Cross Entropy function that can adaptively adjust the loss of two types of samples. Its essence is to determine whether the sample has been misjudged based on the predicted value of sample default, and then adaptively calculate the gradient suitable for accurate identification of the sample. When the sample is misjudged, it retains both the positive gradient accumulated by itself and the negative gradient applied to the opposite class sample. When the sample is accurately identified, only the sample is retained as its own accumulated positive gradient. The introduction of the adjustment term in the ACPL function can not only improve the learning strength and prediction accuracy of the model for default samples, but also avoid misjudgment of non-default samples, providing a new reference for credit risk evaluation of non-equilibrium samples.

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    Research on the Evolution Mechanism of Weibo User Discussion Heat for Public Demand Response Policies——A Case Based on Weibo Users Data
    Longtao Qin, Jiayi Huang, Mingliang Qi
    2026, 34 (11):  130-141.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0498
    Abstract ( 177 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1953KB) ( 30 )   Save

    In the new media era, policies responding to public demands can be disseminated to the public immediately, yet they require time to be implemented and demonstrate effectiveness. Research on the evolution mechanism of public discussion heat regarding related topics aids administrative departments in assessing public opinion trends and guiding discussion heat proactively and appropriately.When Weibo users become aware of government-published policies addressing public demands, their desire for immediate gratification motivates them to expect prompt benefits from these policies. Concurrently, users possess self-regulation capabilities, which exert a counteracting influence on their immediate gratification impulses. Additionally, users tend to forget previously viewed content, thereby influencing their online browsing behaviors and relational dynamics.Weibo users are categorized into four groups: Unknowns, Followers, Communicators, and Silencers. By incorporating the psychological factors of immediate gratification and self-regulation, transition functions between these groups are established, forming a dissemination model based on immediate gratification and self-regulation.The dataset comprised 119,057 Weibo comments from 90,705 users under relevant topics on the Sina Weibo platform during the implementation of the “Nine Prohibitions” policy. Genetic algorithms are subsequently employed to fit the model parameters, reconstructing the temporal evolution curve of user participation in related discussions.Finally, the impact of parameters on the scale and growth rate of discussion heat is analyzed from two dimensions: information dissemination pathways and user psychology. The effects of four moderation strategies on discussion heat are evaluated. Findings indicate that the model effectively explains the evolutionary trend of potential maximum discussion heat among Weibo users. Measures such as labeling misinformation on social media platforms and promptly responding to public demands demonstrate relatively superior moderation efficacy. Future research could integrate additional psychological theories to better characterize the evolution of online public opinion.

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    Pricing Model Selection for Software Firms under Consumer Anticipated Regret
    Xing Gao, Shihui Gu, Boyuan Zhong
    2026, 34 (11):  142-150.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0349
    Abstract ( 101 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1095KB) ( 20 )   Save

    Software products are typically marketed through either one-time sales or subscription-based leasing, and the choice between these distribution models is profoundly influenced by consumer behavioral characteristics. Consumers often face significant perceived uncertainty about a software product’s ability to deliver its expected utility. This uncertainty inherently creates a risk of product-consumer mismatch, which readily triggers anticipatory regret. Consequently, such anticipated regret profoundly influences consumers’ purchase decisions.​ The theory of anticipated regret offers a behavioral lens to understand how pre-purchase expectations of negative outcomes influence choices. Accordingly, both value uncertainty in software products and the psychological aspect of consumer anticipated regret are incorporated. A two-stage game-theoretic model is developed to examine the optimal sales strategy under both one-time sales and leasing models. Key findings include: (1) As regret aversion sensitivity increases, total corporate profit declines under both sales models; conversely, as matching probability rises, profits increase under both models. (2) Higher matching probability inclines firms toward the leasing model, whereas increased regret aversion sensitivity favors the sales model. (3) Under dual influences of uncertainty and anticipated regret, both consumer surplus and social welfare are higher under the sales model than under the leasing model. These findings provide practical insights for software firms seeking to optimize their sales mode selection in response to consumer anticipated regret and matching risk.

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    Stick to the Core Business or Compete in Other Business? Study on Cross-sector Operation Strategy of Platforms
    Baojiao Wang, Zhiwen Li, Qiang Xiong, Thomas Le Texier
    2026, 34 (11):  151-162.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.1618
    Abstract ( 92 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (3899KB) ( 28 )   Save

    In recent years, it has been increasingly common for platform enterprises to build ecosystems through cross-sector operations, and the strategies and impacts of such operations have attracted widespread attention. Based on the Hotelling model, an operation and competition model is established for two platforms connecting two types of users (buyers and sellers) in two markets (the core business market and the other business markets). It explores the platforms’ choices of cross-sector operation strategies and their impacts when faced with the decision to either stick to the core business or compete in other business. It is shown that: (1) The choice of a platform’s cross-sector operation strategy is jointly influenced by two effects: the price competition effect and the market expansion effect; (2) Two scenarios may both become Nash equilibria for platforms’ cross-sector operation strategies, which are both platforms choosing to compete in other business, and only one platform choosing to compete in other business while the other choosing to stick to its core business. The specific equilibrium depends on the basic utility provided by the platforms to users and the cross-network externalities among users; (3) When one or both platforms choose to compete in other business, the social welfare level may reach the highest. In contrast, when both platforms stick to their core businesses, the total social welfare level is the lowest. Theoretical guidance is provided for platform enterprises to formulate cross-sector operation strategies and consolidate their competitiveness, while also laying a theoretical foundation for relevant authorities to address cross-sector regulatory challenges and develop platform cross-sector regulatory policies.

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    Strategic Recommendations under Platform Revenue Sharing Contracts, Considering Reputational Cost
    Liuyi Ling, Zhaoming Yue
    2026, 34 (11):  163-173.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0384
    Abstract ( 75 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1883KB) ( 19 )   Save

    Recommendation is being widely adopted by online shopping platforms to enhance consumer purchasing behavior. Given that different recommendation strategies exert varying effects on consumer behavior under different prior beliefs, how the firm and platform should design their information strategies to maximize profits is explored. A multi-stage non-cooperative game model is constructed using Stackelberg dynamic game theory for backward induction, incorporating reputation costs under the platform’s revenue-sharing contract. The analysis examines whether the firm should adopt the recommendation feature, the optimal intensity of strategic recommendations to influence consumer beliefs, and the platform’s optimal access fee for the feature. The results show that the recommendation feature expands the consumer base and stimulates purchases by reshaping consumer beliefs, yet even when the platform waives access fees, high-brand-equity firms may lack adoption incentives. A moderate level of strategic recommendations can boost sales, with this effect contingent on the feature’s accuracy and consumer beliefs. Under asymmetric information, the firm can mitigate profit extraction by the platform, and prior negotiation may avert a “lose-lose” outcome. The quantitative analysis and managerial insights are provided to support these findings.

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    Online Platform Information Sharing and Personalized Pricing: The Impact of Brand Competition, Cost Differences and Commission Rates
    Minghui Xu, Juanhong Tang, Honghong Cao, Xingxing Sun
    2026, 34 (11):  174-185.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0023
    Abstract ( 161 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (2236KB) ( 34 )   Save

    In the digital transformation of the retail industry, store brands of e-commerce platforms have emerged to compete with sellers’ national brands. Owing to their substantial information advantage, platforms can implement personalized pricing. However, the third-party sellers lack enough consumer information for personalized pricing. They are either confined by their limited data gathering and analysis capabilities or have restricted access to consumer information. Although some platforms share information with sellers, this practice exerts a dual impact on platform revenue: on one hand, it may indirectly benefit the platform through the increase in seller’ profits; on the other hand, it may lead to a decline in the platform’s profits due to price competition.​Furthermore, the store brand products launched by platforms are often positioned as lower-quality alternatives to national brand products. Relying on the operation model of self-production and self-marketing or direct cooperation with suppliers, these store brands possess significant advantages in terms of cost and price, they have gradually become an unignorable competitive force.​ Motivated by this perspective, in the context of the quality and produce cost differences between the e-commerce platform’s store brand products and the seller’s national brand products, the interaction between the platform’s information sharing strategy and the pricing strategies (personalized pricing and uniform pricing) of both parties is explored by constructing a vertically differentiated model, and the impact of different pricing strategies on consumer surplus and social welfare levels is analyzed.The results show that when the platform does not share the information, the platform may not obtain additional benefits from its information advantage. Only when the commission rate is low, or when the commission rate is relatively low and the competitive advantage of store brand products is relatively significant, can platforms gain profits by using their information advantages to implement personalized pricing. When existing information sharing contract, there are not only cases where both the platform and sellers adopt personalized pricing, but also possible cases where the platform shares information with sellers to support them in implementing personalized pricing while the platform itself uses uniform pricing. There may even be cases where the platform shares information to help sellers to conduct personalized pricing and withdraws from the market itself. If the commission rate is at a high level, information sharing causes sellers’ personalized pricing behavior to harm consumer surplus and social welfare. If the commission rate is relatively high and the cost difference between brands is also relatively high, both the platform and sellers adopt personalized pricing when platform shares information. In this case, the intense competition leads to lower selling prices, which increases both consumer surplus and the level of social welfare.

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    Over-prediction of Demand Change and Choice between Static or Dynamic Pricing Contracts
    Youguo Jing, Yan Zhang, Zhen Liu, Shunchao Pang, Kaida Qin
    2026, 34 (11):  186-198.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.0675
    Abstract ( 157 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (2173KB) ( 20 )   Save

    In multi-period supply chains, upstream manufacturers may overpredict future demand changes, a behavioral bias that can intensify the bullwhip effect, while downstream retailers may strategically adjust inventory to influence future pricing. Yet their combined effects under demand uncertainty, especially regarding static versus dynamic pricing contracts, remain underexamined. This study analyzes a two-period supply chain with non-stationary demand, one manufacturer, and one retailer. First-period market size is normalized to one; second-period market size changes and may be overpredicted by the manufacturer. Using a dynamic game-theoretic framework, four two-period Stackelberg models are developed and solved by backward induction, differing in manufacturer expectation formation (rational expectations or overprediction) and contract type (static or dynamic pricing). Findings show the retailer always prefers dynamic pricing. The manufacturer’s preference depends on demand conditions and expectation bias: under demand increases, both rational and overpredicting manufacturers prefer dynamic pricing; under slight decreases, rational manufacturers and those with mild or severe overprediction favor dynamic pricing, while moderate overprediction favors static pricing; under substantial decreases, rational and moderately overpredicting manufacturers prefer static pricing, while mildly and severely overpredicting manufacturers prefer dynamic pricing. Manufacturer overprediction always reduces its own profit, but its effects on the retailer and total supply chain are asymmetric, negative under demand increases, often beneficial under demand decreases. This study contributes by integrating non-stationary demand and manufacturer overprediction into one analytical framework, clarifying interactions among the Strategic Inventory Effect, Demand Change Effect, and Overprediction Effect, and offering practical insights for pricing contract selection under demand volatility and behavioral bias.

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    Research on Multi-Period Lot-Sizing Problem Considering Raw Material Substitution
    Jianbin Li, Gong Feng, Ping Zhou, Cheng Yang, Qihuang Mei
    2026, 34 (11):  199-209.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.1151
    Abstract ( 114 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1317KB) ( 24 )   Save

    The increasing uncertainty in raw material supply and the complexity of multi-period production planning pose significant challenges for manufacturers, particularly in industries like tobacco manufacturing, where material shortages frequently disrupt operations. It focuses on the multi-period lot-sizing problem with raw material substitution in this study, aiming to minimize total production costs while ensuring production stability. By incorporating substitution strategies, the research addresses the dynamic interplay between production capacity, raw material availability, and substitution costs, offering a practical solution to enhance supply chain resilience. To tackle this problem, a hybrid Adaptive Large Neighborhood Search (ALNS) algorithm is proposed, integrating heuristic techniques with the precision of the Gurobi solver. This approach leverages the strengths of both methods to efficiently navigate the solution space and handle the complex constraints inherent in the problem. Using real-world production data from a tobacco company, the algorithm’s effectiveness is demonstrated in significantly reducing computational time for small-scale problems while improving solution quality for large-scale cases compared to traditional methods. Additionally, the analysis highlights the substantial benefits of raw material substitution strategies, which, on average, reduce production costs by 23% and stockout rates by 26.4%, ensuring robust and flexible production planning even under varying substitution cost scenarios. It not only provides a scalable and efficient solution for multi-period lot-sizing problems but also offers valuable insights into the practical application of substitution strategies in dynamic production environments in this research. By bridging theoretical modeling with real-world case analysis, the findings contribute to the broader field of production management and supply chain optimization, offering a robust framework for addressing complex operational challenges in modern manufacturing industries.

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    Multi-trip Automotive Parts Inbound Logistics Optimization Based on Synchronous Milk-run Pickup
    Jian Chen, Qiang Xue, Hong Zhou, Wenjing Ma
    2026, 34 (11):  210-218.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.1833
    Abstract ( 16 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1511KB) ( 5 )   Save

    Parts inbound logistics refers to the process of managing the transportation, storage, and handling of parts or components as they move from suppliers to a manufacturer. This is particularly critical in the new energy vehicle industry, where the variety of models and personalized components requires optimized logistics for incoming parts to enhance competitive advantage. Synchronous pickup is one of the important means of parts inbound logistics for just-in-time production. Personalized demand for high and large parts needs to be supplied to mixed-model assembly lines on time. In order to ensure the parts timely delivery, direct delivery mode is usually used to ensure synchronous pickup. Although it can ensure the timeliness of transportation, it suffers from low logistical efficiency and high empty return rates.In order to achieve better synchronous pickup, a new synchronous milk-run mode is proposed by combining milk-run with synchronous pickup. Its specific process is given as follows. First, automotive manufacturer splits parts demand of synchronous workstations in a mixed-model assembly line and sends the demand to suppliers in advance. Second, the third-party logistics company adopts the multi-trip synchronous milk-run mode to pick up parts and deliver to synchronous workstations directly within strict delivery deadline.A mixed-integer programming model based on multi-trip vehicle routing problem is built by taking into account the characteristics of demand splitting of parts and synchronous delivery of parts. For the proposed model, an improved adaptive large neighborhood search (IALNS) algorithm is designed. It adopts a pushforward insertion heuristic to generate the initial solution and designs several problem-related destroy and repair operators to generate high-quality offspring solutions. Additionally, a new perturbation-based post-local search is proposed to improve global and local search capabilities. Numerical experimental results demonstrate excellent performance and speed of the proposed IALNS compared to Gurobi, variable neighborhood search and genetic algorithms in different-scale instances. Sensitivity experiments reveal that as delivery lead times become more lenient, the average vehicle travel distance initially increases before stabilizing gradually, while transportation costs show a decreasing trend. The proposed approach can effectively improve vehicle utilization efficiency, reduce inbound logistics costs for parts, and provide theoretical support for inbound logistics in automotive manufacturers.

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    Routing Optimization of Hybrid Electric Vehicles in Electric Road Systems
    Xueyi Ai, Tongtong Zhang, Haoxuan Xu
    2026, 34 (11):  219-230.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0337
    Abstract ( 55 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (3789KB) ( 15 )   Save

    With the deep development of the “dual carbon” strategy and green logistics, the demand for decarbonization in the freight transportation area has become increasingly urgent. Although the widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) plays a crucial role in achieving green transportation, it is still hindered by challenges such as “charging anxiety” and “the limited availability of charging piles”. In such context, the Electric Road Systems (ERS) technology, which enables vehicles to obtain electric power from the road while driving, offers a feasible solution to overcome the above bottlenecks. Compared to pure electric vehicles, hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) not only exhibit lower emissions and higher efficiency, but also offer longer driving ranges and stronger environmental adaptability, making them an ideal choice for logistics transportation in ERS scenarios. Given that ERS will alter the energy replenishment mode of HEVs, a route optimization model is constructed for HEVs based on ERS. The model takes into account the impact of ERS on the energy distribution of HEVs, and sets the overall objective as minimizing the sum of total electricity and fuel costs. An Improved Marine Predators Algorithm (IMPA) is developed to solve the model. The algorithm integrates improving strategies from Large Neighborhood Search (LNS) and Genetic Algorithm (GA), in which LNS could help to escape the local optima through its destroy-and-repair mechanism effectively, and GA enhances population diversity through crossover and mutation operations, thereby preventing premature convergence. IMPA leverages the fast-solving nature of MPA and incorporates these improvements to enhance the overall performance of its solution. Thereafter, through small-scale and large-scale numerical experiments, our IMPA is compared with the original Marine Predators Algorithm (MPA), the GA, and the CPLEX 22.10 solver. The results demonstrate that IMPA outperforms MPA, GA, and CPLEX in terms of solution quality, especially in large-scale scenarios, showing its efficiency and practicality for complex route optimization problems. Additionally, sensitivity analysis experiments are conducted to reveal in-depth managerial insights: 1) ERS can effectively reduce fuel consumption and total energy costs, but its marginal benefits gradually diminish as the number of deployed ERS segments increases; 2) There is a negative correlation between battery capacity and total cost, meaning that a larger battery capacity leading to a smaller total cost; 3) in terms of the distribution strategy of ERS segments, in the early stages of deployment, an intensive distribution strategy is more effective in reducing energy costs than a uniform distribution strategy; while in the later stages of deployment, a uniform distribution strategy can achieve lower cost.

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    Multi-objective Optimization of Collection Routes for Multi-compartment Vehicles Considering Noise Pollution in Urban Construction Waste Sorted Collection
    Jianhua Xiao, Wenxue Zhang, Wantong Lv, Boquan Gao
    2026, 34 (11):  231-243.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.2389
    Abstract ( 18 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1632KB) ( 38 )   Save

    With the accelerating urbanization process, construction waste generation has been increasing year by year, making sorted construction waste collection an inevitable trend. However, urban construction waste is predominantly transported at night using heavy-duty vehicles, which often generate high-decibel noise during operation. Focusing on the characteristics of non-concrete construction waste-including its small volume, suitability for multi-compartment vehicle transportation, and significant noise pollution, for the first time the consideration of both multi-compartment vehicles and road noise pollution is introduced. With the dual objectives of minimizing total cost and noise pollution, we formulate a multi-objective optimization model considering noise pollution for multi-compartment vehicle collection routes in urban construction waste transportation under sorted collection.To address the NP-hard nature of the model, an IMOEA/D membrane algorithm based on tissue P systems is proposed. This is the first time that a tissue P system-based membrane algorithm has been introduced, enabling the IMOEA/D algorithm to incorporate multiple decomposition strategies for parallel problem-solving. Furthermore, to overcome the limitations of traditional MOEA/D algorithms, such as reliance on a single evolutionary operator, fixed control parameters, and a fixed neighborhood size that reduce solution efficiency, the IMOEA/D algorithm integrates an individual classification strategy, a self-adaptive differential evolution operator selection strategy, and a dynamic neighborhood adjustment strategy, thereby further enhancing algorithm performance.By solving instances of various scales and comparing the results with those of benchmark algorithms, the proposed algorithm demonstrates high solution quality, with improved convergence and diversity. In addition, the effectiveness of incorporating the membrane algorithm and designing a self-adaptive differential evolution (DE) operator selection strategy is validated. Model comparison analysis highlights the necessity of considering noise pollution in the sorted collection of non-concrete construction waste. Decision preference analysis confirms the significant advantage of the proposed model in balancing the two objectives. Moreover, it is verified that introducing multi-compartment vehicles into the sorted collection of non-concrete construction waste can significantly reduce both collection costs and noise pollution, and that noise thresholds indeed have a substantial impact on total collection costs. Finally, a real-world case study provides theoretical guidance and decision support for addressing practical issues in urban construction waste sorting and collection.

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    Research on Capacity Constraint Buffer Setting Based on Social Network Analysis
    Junguang Zhang, Chenyu Si, Qing Han
    2026, 34 (11):  244-253.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.0352
    Abstract ( 14 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (962KB) ( 7 )   Save

    Within the domain of multi-project management, a substantial corpus of research on critical chain buffer settings has rigorously investigated various attributes of activities, including temporal aspects, resource utilization, and the logical interdependencies among activities. However, there appears to be a conspicuous lack of scholarly attention directed toward managerial dimensions, particularly concerning how the social network structure in which a manager is embedded might influence the efficacy of the capacity constraint buffer (CCB) configuration. Moreover, predominant methodologies typically position the buffer at the end of an activity, a practice that can precipitate a domino effect and fails to ensure an optimal distribution of the buffer. In light of these observations, methodologies are integrated from social network analysis into the CCB determination process. It scrutinizes the potential influence of managers' social network affiliations on the CCB configuration, aiming to augment the conventional CCB model theoretically and to furnish managers with more rigorous insights into buffer settings. To effectively navigate the intricate landscape of multi-project management and to fully harness the subjective initiative demonstrated by managers, an innovative method of multi-project capacity constraint buffer setting based on social network analysis is proposed. First, the social network analysis method is applied to the project drum network to quantify the drum network attribute indicators based on the logical relationship of project activity progress. Second, social network analysis is used to analyze manager attributes and characterize the manager's decision-making level under the network information flow, and then construct a new evaluation index system. Then, the gray TOPSIS method is applied to determine the buffer size, and the buffer is adjusted by the project manager after searching for project-supportable resources in the social network. Finally, the buffer is set decentralized based on the drum activity gap, and the arithmetic example is selected to compare this paper's method with the classical method. The simulation results show that under the guarantee of a higher project completion rate, this method sets the buffer smaller and can effectively utilize the buffer, thus shortening the project duration. In summary, social network analysis is integrated into the process of setting capacity constraint buffers for multi-projects, providing a novel perspective on the theory and practice of critical chain project management. The proposed framework not only comprehensively considers the complexity of multi-project management, but also empowers managers to maximize their initiative. Through this innovative approach, project managers can enhance their ability to navigate through the ever-changing project execution environment by adapting their project organizational network structure.

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    Network Momentum Investment and Pricing Strategy for Fashion Products E-commerce Based on Spillover Effect of Fashion Degree
    Jinjin Mou, Yingmei Jiang, Shuyun Wang
    2026, 34 (11):  254-262.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.0328
    Abstract ( 20 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1405KB) ( 5 )   Save

    The sales mode and dynamic pricing mode leading fashion with stars, models and online celebrities have increasingly become the marketing strategy of fashion products. How to give full play to the spillover effect of network momentum for fashion degree, to formulate a reasonable pricing and promotion strategy, to improve the profits of fashion products and to reduce inventory and losses, has become an important problem to be solved in fashion e-commerce sales. In practice, consumers have different sensitivities to the fashion degree of products. To maximize sales revenue, at the beginning of the product launch, the e-commerce usually builds up network momentum to enhance consumers' awareness of fashion and conform to highly sensitive consumers with higher prices; when the product enters the mature period, there are many homogeneous products in the market, and the fashion degree of the product is declining, and hence, the e-commerce adopts low price promotion to eliminate inventory and cater to low sensitive consumers for fashion degree.The existing literature mostly involves the promotion efforts and pricing decisions of general products and fresh agricultural products. Even if the impact of fashion product prices, promotion efforts on consumer demand is considered, the impact of fashion degree and its spillover effect on consumer demand is rarely considered. For fashion products, when e-commerce does not use the network momentum, the initial fashion degree of the product will decrease with the passage of time, which is like the freshness rate of the fresh agricultural products. However, the fashion degree is different from the freshness rate of fresh agricultural products. First, when network momentum/promotion efforts are taken, fashion degree will have spillover effects; Second, even if the fashion degree drops to zero over time, price reduction will still be favored by price-sensitive consumers. Therefore, the market demand for fashion products is more suitable for the additive form of price and fashion rate. In view of the spillover effect of the fashion degree, the decay effect of it in time, and the stimulating effect of price reduction on price-sensitive consumers, the heterogeneity of customer demand on fashion sensitivity and price sensitivity is fully considered in modeling formulation and decision-making. Firstly, the function of the fashion degree is constructed and demonstrated. The fashion degree is regarded as the multiplication of the spillover effect and decay rate, in which spillover effect is considered as a function of network momentum, beyond the original fashion degree, the decay rate is considered as a negative exponential function of time. That is, at the beginning of the product launch, the fashion degree is the highest. When it is close to or even exceeds the sales season, the fashion degree tends to zero. Secondly, a two-stage additive demand function is constructed based on the heterogeneity of consumers on fashion sensitivity and price sensitivity. Especially, for price-sensitive consumption demand, the impact of discount time is considered due to lack of style and size. Thirdly, the maximum profit function is built inclusive of two stages of sales revenue, procurement cost, inventory carrying cost, and network momentum investment cost, and a comparison is made with no network momentum investment. It is found that the network momentum investment will significantly increase the consumption demand of the two customer groups, and the sales price will slightly increase, which makes the sales profit significantly higher than that without momentum measures. Lastly, sensitivity analysis is made for key parameters. It is found that (1) the higher the proportion of fashion-sensitive consumers the lower the network momentum investment, the higher the fashion-oriented pricing, the earlier the discount time, and the lower the price after the discount, resulting in a decrease in the demand for fashion orientation, and an increase in demand for price orientation, and a higher total sales volume and sales profit; (2)With the increase of the time coefficient of the decay rate, the faster the fashion degree declines, the lower the investment in network campaigns, the lower the price of fashion orientation, and the later the discount time, and a slightly lower price for price-oriented consumers, resulting in a slight increase in demand for fashion orientation, a lower demand for price orientation, and a decline in total sales and profits; (3) With the increase of the sensitivity factor of discount time, the lower the investment in network momentum, the earlier the discount time, the lower the demand and price of the two customer groups, which leads to lower profits.

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    Research on Government-Enterprise Collaborative Recovery Strategies for Supply Disruptions
    Qingchun Meng, Xin Cui, Ziyi Zhu, Yongbin Gao, Xiaole Xue
    2026, 34 (11):  263-275.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.1216
    Abstract ( 18 )   HTML ( 2 )   PDF (1394KB) ( 10 )   Save

    The supply disruptions caused by emergent events pose a serious challenge to both enterprises and governments, and the government-enterprise collaborative model has a significant promoting effect on supply recovery. Considering two types of government-enterprise collaborative recovery strategies, namely cost subsidy and price subsidy, and taking into account both economic benefits and social benefits, feasible ways are provided for government-enterprise collaborative supply recovery and the impact of time, consumers’ characteristic parameters, and reference price effects on recovery decisions is analyzed. The results show that the government-enterprise collaboration can not only motivate the enterprise to improve their recovery enthusiasm but also effectively stimulate market vitality. The recovery decisions of the enterprise are time-variantly related to consumers’ characteristic parameters, and it is necessary for enterprises to pay attention to the disturbance of the behavior of consumers after supply disruptions. In comparison to cost subsidy, the profits of the enterprise and the benefits of government are greater when the government adopts price subsidies. Given the same subsidy allocation, neither the price subsidy strategy nor the cost subsidy strategy is always better.

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    Retailer Ownership or Retailer Outsourcing? The Pre-cooling Mode Selection and Coordination Mechanism of Fresh Agricultural Products Supply Chain
    Xujin Pu, Suxin Li, Xueyan Wu
    2026, 34 (11):  276-287.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.1221
    Abstract ( 95 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1586KB) ( 28 )   Save

    In the supply chain of fresh agricultural products, the two-stage preservation, which includes pre-cooling preservation and terminal preservation, jointly determines the freshness of the products. Among these, pre-cooling preservation, as the initial and critical stage, plays a more decisive role. This paper constructs supply chain game models under two scenarios: one where the retailer conducts pre-cooling preservation independently, and the other where the retailer outsources this task, aiming to explore the selection of pre-cooling preservation models within the supply chain.The research findings are as follows:(1) In terms of the efforts in the two-stage preservation: Under both operation models, supply chain members tend to emphasize the pre-cooling preservation stage, known as the “first kilometer”. Specifically, when the third-party pre-cooling preservation service provider exhibits a significant cost advantage, greater efforts are exerted in both stages of preservation under the outsourcing model. Conversely, when the cost advantage is minimal, more efforts are seen in both stages under the self-operation model. When the cost advantage is moderate, the investment in pre-cooling preservation is greater under the outsourcing model, while the investment in terminal preservation is larger under the self-operation model.(2) Regarding the total profit of the supply chain, if the third-party pre-cooling preservation service provider holds a substantial cost advantage, the overall profit of the supply chain is higher under the outsourcing model; otherwise, the self-operation model yields a greater total profit. Under specific circumstances, cooperatives and retailers both show a preference for the outsourcing model, leading to a “win-win” situation. However, this places high demands on the cost advantage of the third party. To address this, a coordinated contract of “retailer outsourcing+cost sharing” is devised, which effectively mitigates the pressure on the third-party pre-cooling preservation service provider and brings about Pareto improvement in the earnings of the supply chain entities. This research offers valuable perspectives for the selection of the pre-cooling preservation operation mode within the supply chain of fresh agricultural products.

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    Store Brand Introduction and Digital Showroom Strategy of Online Retailer
    Yiwen Bian, Boyang Li, Wenchao Cheng, Xiaohua Han
    2026, 34 (11):  288-297.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.2081
    Abstract ( 12 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1241KB) ( 5 )   Save

    Introducing Store Brand and providing digital showroom services are becoming important strategies for online retailers to gain a competitive advantage. The online retailer’s Store Brand introduction and digital showroom strategy in a supply chain consisting of an e-tailer and a manufacturer are explored. Model solving as the research method is adopted, guided by game theory and consumer utility theory, and obtains some interesting theoretical conclusions are obtained through equilibrium analysis. It is found that the e-tailer’ optimal decisions on Store Brand introduction and digital showroom service provision are influenced by factors such as product development costs, product quality differences between Store Brand and National Brand, and the probability of online purchase fit. It is found that “not introducing Store Brand and providing digital showroom service for National Brand”, “introducing low-quality Store Brand and providing digital showroom service for Store Brand only”, “introducing low-quality Store Brand and providing digital showroom service for both products”, “introducing high-quality Store Brand and providing digital showroom service for both products” may be the optimal strategies. In addition, the introduction of Store Brand is not always detrimental to the manufacturer. When the online retailer is subject to strong product quality cost constraints, it becomes mutually optimal for the online retailer not to introduce Store Brand and to provide digital showroom service for the National Brand, as the introduction of Store Brand would lead to a prisoner’s dilemma for both parties. It enriches the previous research results in this study, not only verifies the relevant empirical findings from a theoretical point of view, but also provides a scientific decision-making reference basis for the management of online retailers' Store Brand and digital showroom, which has certain theoretical and practical value.

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    Supply‑Chain Technology Investment and Financing Strategies under AI‑Based Predictive Maintenance
    Yixuan Han, Xianliang Shi, Weijian Zhang, Shuai Liu, T.C.E Cheng, Shouyang Wang
    2026, 34 (11):  298-312.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.1921
    Abstract ( 180 )   HTML ( 2 )   PDF (1591KB) ( 43 )   Save

    Artificial intelligence (AI) is a major driver of industrial upgrading and productivity growth, while manufacturing-oriented financial services such as finance leasing can accelerate the intelligent upgrading of production equipment. Focusing on the equipment procurement decisions of a capital-constrained manufacturer and the supply chain’s adoption of AI-enabled predictive maintenance, a two-echelon game-theoretic model composed of an equipment supplier and a manufacturer is developed to analyze the joint strategy of technology investment and financing mode choice (bank borrowing versus finance leasing), and further designs a fixed-payment contract to achieve Pareto improvement. The results show that: (1) compared with bank borrowing, finance leasing internalizes interest costs and retains residual value within the supply chain, thereby mitigating profit leakage; both in the no-technology case and in the case where the supplier invests in the technology, finance leasing increases the equipment order quantity and total system output, leading to a Pareto improvement for both parties; (2) AI-enabled predictive maintenance reduces losses caused by unplanned downtime and generates a quality premium. As a result, when finance leasing is provided, the case in which the supplier also invests in the technology (Case Al) is superior to the case without technology investment; when only bank borrowing is adopted, the case in which the manufacturer invests in the technology while purchasing equipment (Case Amb) is superior to the case without technology investment; and (3) the bank interest rate is a key determinant of the optimal mode combination. As the bank interest rate rises, the optimal mode shifts from manufacturer-led technology investment under bank borrowing (Case Amb) to supplier-led technology investment combined with finance leasing (Case Al). Moreover, there exists an interest-rate interval in which the system-optimal mode is inconsistent with the supplier’s individually optimal mode. To address this divergence, Nash bargaining is employed to determine the optimal fixed payment, thereby aligning mode choice and achieving Pareto improvement. These findings provide useful insights for industry-finance integration practices that leverage financial services such as finance leasing to facilitate AI investment and adoption and enhance production efficiency in the real sector.

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    Multi-item Joint Replenishment Model Considering Financial Repayment Portfolio
    Ligang Cui, Haili Ren, Jie Deng, Yingcong Chen
    2026, 34 (11):  313-325.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.1786
    Abstract ( 8 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (3008KB) ( 7 )   Save

    With the fast development of inclusive finance in supporting the supply chain operations, most financial service agencies are building platforms by developing a variety of flexible short-term supply chain financing strategy packages or products, such as early payment discounts, deferred payments, and reverse factoring, to serve the supply chain wholesalers and retailers, which enrich the payment means for smoothing the supply chain operations, thereby optimizing the operational cost of retailers under uncertain demand and unstable supply environments. For multi-item management, retailer needs to make a comprehensive decision on the order quantity and frequency regarding factors such as the holding level of capital, the replenishment price, and the timing of repayment. A variety of payment modes with different payment schedules to enhance the flexibility and support capabilities of financial services. However, it is a challenge for small and medium retailers to comprehensively analyze the returns and risks of different short-term financial products under various payment timelines.Under such background, a stochastic joint replenishment model (SJRP) is established considering three repayment modes, i.e., early payment, delayed payment, and reverse factoring to minimize the total system cost by deciding the best replenishment cycle time, frequencies, safety inventory levels as well as the timing for repayment. By sharing the experience of Cuckoo Search in mimicking the brood parasitism behavior of cuckoos and the Lévy flight search characteristics, a hybrid Cuckoo Search-Adaptive Differential Evolution (CSADE) algorithm is developed to solve the proposed SJRP.Numerical experiments have been designed to confirm the effectiveness of CSADE for solving the SJRP model compared with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Cuckoo Search (CS), and Adaptive Differential Evolution (ADE). Furthermore, the numerical sensitivity analyses supplemented to reveal the in-depth management insights. Through numerical experiments, several key insights have been reported: First, price discounts and the timing adjustments of reverse factoring significantly influence retailers’ repayment decisions. Second, joint replenishment and inventory management offer substantial financial returns, but these returns tend to be unstable. Lastly, retailers may achieve additional capital gains through reverse factoring, provided that their credit risk remains low.

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    Impact of Consumer Anticipated Regret, Competition in Fuel Vehicle Sales, and Advance Selling Strategy Selection for New Energy Vehicles
    Shu Wen, Chunfa Li, Guangqiang Wu, Jun Zhang, Ruiqian Li
    2026, 34 (11):  326-335.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.2108
    Abstract ( 23 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1564KB) ( 5 )   Save

    Consumer anticipated regret plays a key role in shaping advance selling strategies for new energy vehicles. Focusing on the advance selling strategy decision problem, a two-stage Hotelling game model, considering the competition from the normal selling period of fuel vehicles and the impact of consumer anticipated regret, is constructed. The impacts of the competition intensity, regret sensitivity, and regret probability on the equilibriums of advance selling strategies are analyzed, and the influence degree of the consumer anticipated regret on the advance selling strategies is further evaluated. Results show that: (1) Only when the competition intensity surpasses a critical threshold can the new energy vehicle companies adopt the advance selling strategy. (2) In a competitive market, the advance selling strategy can enhance the value for new energy vehicle companies. Moreover, competition also promote the new energy vehicle diffusion and hinder the fuel vehicle expansion. (3) Considering consumer anticipated regret, the more sensitive consumers are to regret after purchasing new energy vehicles and the higher the probability of regret, the greater the increase in demand and profit increments brought by the advance selling strategy. Therefore, when making advance selling strategy selections, new energy vehicle companies should carefully consider and analyze the market competition environment, consumer anticipated regret, and the potential impact of these factors on the success of the strategy.

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    Labor-Capital Symbiosis and Corporate Value Creation under the Perspective of Value Distribution
    Danli Wang, Weidong Zhu, Chen Zhang, Chao Zhang
    2026, 34 (11):  336-347.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.0863
    Abstract ( 10 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1097KB) ( 3 )   Save

    With the economic structural transformation and the goal of achieving common prosperity, traditional labor-capital relationship models face new challenges. In the context of high-quality economic development, the issue of value distribution between labor and capital not only concerns the sustainable development of enterprises but also has profound implications for social equity and economic efficiency. Therefore, how to achieve a win-win situation for both labor and capital has become a pressing issue. The labor-capital relations within the framework of China’s unique labor-capital relationship are examined under the goal of common prosperity, focusing on the system of enterprise value creation and distribution. Drawing on symbiosis theory, labor-capital relations are regarded as a dynamic and balanced ecosystem. The distribution of added enterprise value between employees (labor) and shareholders (capital) is treated as a key parameter for the development of labor-capital populations. By categorizing labor-capital symbiosis modes and analyzing their impact on value creation, an analytical framework for labor-capital relations is constructed.To validate the applicability of this theoretical framework, financial data from 359 A-share listed companies in China between 2004 and 2020 are used and the simplex optimization algorithm is applied to measure labor-capital symbiosis modes. The simplex optimization algorithm, as an efficient mathematical optimization method, is capable of effectively handling complex problems involving multiple variables and constraints, making it suitable for the quantitative analysis of labor-capital value distribution modes. The results show that labor-capital value distribution in Chinese listed companies primarily falls into four modes: reciprocal symbiosis mode, profit-biased symbiosis mode, parasitism mode and competition mode. In the reciprocal symbiosis mode, labor and capital achieve coordinated development through a reasonable value distribution, ensuring balanced benefits for both sides and promoting overall enterprise value enhancement. The profit-biased symbiosis mode is characterized by one party dominating the value distribution, while the other party has relatively constrained benefits. Although this mode may yield profits for enterprises in the short term, it could undermine employee motivation and creativity in the long run. The parasitism mode reflects one party exploiting the interests of the other, resulting in severe imbalances in labor-capital relations and hindering sustainable enterprise development. The competition mode is marked by conflicts and opposition between labor and capital in value distribution, often resulting in wasted internal resources and reduced efficiency. To further investigate the impact of different symbiosis modes on enterprise value creation, enterprise value-added is used as the dependent variable and the symbiosis models is treated as dummy variables for independent variables. A fixed-effects model is employed for regression analysis, using the reciprocal symbiosis mode as the benchmark for comparison with the other three modes. The findings reveal that the regression coefficients of the profit-biased symbiosis mode, parasitism mode and competition mode are significantly negative, highlighting that the reciprocal symbiosis mode is the most favorable value distribution approach for enterprise value creation. These results confirm the superiority of the reciprocal symbiosis mode in labor-capital relations, offering a scientific basis for enterprises to optimize value distribution.The systems symbiosis theory is introduced into labor-capital relations analysis, establishing a dynamic equilibrium framework for value distribution and revealing the impact of different symbiosis modes on enterprise value creation, thereby pioneering a new theoretical approach to labor-capital relations research. The findings provide scientific guidance for enterprises to optimize labor-capital value distribution mechanisms and build harmonious labor relations, offering significant policy implications. Furthermore, the research methods and analytical framework employed in this study demonstrate strong innovation and universal applicability, providing valuable references for subsequent research. For example, the combined application of simplex optimization algorithms and fixed-effects models offers reliable tools for the quantitative analysis of labor-capital value distribution modes. The classification framework, grounded in ecosystem theory, also offers new perspectives for studying other types of organizational relationships. The broader application of these methods and frameworks will contribute to further exploration in the field of labor-capital relations, injecting new vitality into the development of related disciplines.

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    Research on the Introduction Strategy of Blockchain Considering Consumer Demand under Carbon Tax Policy
    Zheng Liu, Tianchen Yang, Xiqiang Xia, Bin Hu
    2026, 34 (11):  348-360.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.2344
    Abstract ( 116 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (2820KB) ( 17 )   Save

    Against the backdrop of the “dual carbon” initiative, the remanufacturing of waste products has garnered significant attention from the government due to its effectiveness in reducing carbon emissions during the production process. However, issues such as passing off inferior remanufactured products as high-quality ones and the production of counterfeit and shoddy remanufactured items may dampen consumer demand. Therefore, the introduction of blockchain technology becomes particularly crucial. Under the carbon tax policy, the influence of consumer demand (recognition of remanufactured products and low-carbon preference) on the strategy of introducing blockchain technology is taken into account. Based on the authorized remanufacturing model, four blockchain introduction modes (NN, NB, BN, BB) are constructed. Through model solving and numerical example simulations, the following relevant conclusions are drawn: (1) In terms of carbon emission reduction, the scenario where the remanufacturer introduces blockchain technology alone (NB mode) yields the best results, and there is a negative correlation between the manufacturer’s emission reduction rate and the total carbon emission reduction amount of the supply chain. (2) Consumers’ acceptance of remanufactured products and their low-carbon preference have a significant impact on corporate strategies. Improving product quality and conducting environmental protection publicity are beneficial for manufacturers (remanufacturers) to maximize product profits under the NB mode. In addition, from the perspective of social benefits, manufacturers need to dynamically decide whether to introduce blockchain technology according to consumers’ recognition of remanufactured products (introduce it when the recognition is low and avoid it when the recognition is high), while remanufacturers need to introduce blockchain technology under any circumstances to achieve the optimal consumer surplus. (3) The government may implement carbon tax reductions when the carbon tax rate is relatively high to guide enterprises in adopting the NB model with better environmental benefits. Further promoting differentiated carbon tax policies in conjunction with consumer demand can enhance the competitiveness and feasibility of this model. (4) In the process of promoting carbon emission reduction, enterprises should consider the remanufacturer’s independent introduction of blockchain technology (i.e., the NB mode) as the preferred strategy to maximize the emission reduction effect and lead the industry towards green transformation. At the same time, manufacturers also need to carefully consider the potential impact of their emission reduction rates on the overall emission reduction effectiveness, and avoid excessive reliance on a single emission reduction technology while neglecting diversified and comprehensive emission reduction approaches. A prudent approach is for enterprises to reallocate part of the emission reduction costs to support and incentivize remanufacturers to introduce blockchain technology. This measure can not only accelerate the penetration and application of blockchain technology in the field of emission reduction but also open up a new revenue stream for manufacturers-by increasing the authorization fees for remanufacturers, thereby achieving a simultaneous boost in economic benefits while promoting the development of a low-carbon economy. In this way, enterprises can not only fulfill their social responsibilities and contribute to the construction of an environmentally friendly society but also gain a competitive edge in the fierce market competition and achieve a dual harvest of economic and social benefits.

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    Quadratic Decomposition-ensemble Method for Multi-step Forecast of Monthly Sales Volume of New energy Vehicles
    Fang Wang, Ankun Zhao, Lean Yu
    2026, 34 (11):  361-369.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.2035
    Abstract ( 13 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1589KB) ( 6 )   Save

    Driven by policy support, technological progress and market demand, China's new energy vehicle market has shown a strong momentum of development, and the rapid development of the new energy vehicle market has attracted wide attention, and its sales forecast is crucial for enterprises and governments. At present, the sales forecast of new energy vehicles is mainly based on annual sales. Considering that the sales volume of new energy vehicles is susceptible to various factors, the monthly sales data has the phenomenon of aliasing data characteristics, which makes multi-step forecasting a challenge.In view of the complexity, seasonality, trend and other characteristics of monthly sales timing data of new energy vehicles, based on the modeling idea of “disintegration-integration”, a secondary disintegration-integration framework for monthly sales forecasting of new energy vehicles is constructed. First, the original sequence is decomposed by the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) algorithm to extract the trend item data features. Secondly, the algorithm STL (Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess) is used to extract the seasonal terms and residual terms from the detrended item sequence. Then, the Logistic regression, autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) and deep Extreme Learning machine (DELM) models are respectively used to predict the trend term, seasonal term and residual term. Finally, the forecast results of each item are integrated to get the final forecast results.The empirical analysis based on China's new energy vehicle sales data shows that the MAPE of the proposed quadratic decomposition integrated model in the three-step, six-step and twelve-step forecasting is 5.80%, 6.10% and 7.34%, respectively, which is more than 15% lower than the benchmark model, and the improvement effect is significant. In the future, for the prediction of complex time series data, the corresponding characteristics of time series can be fully considered and extracted for modeling prediction.

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    Will the Use of Industrial Robots Improve Green Total Factor Productivity? Empirical Evidence from the Micro Level
    Jun Li, Yihang Jin, Xi Chen, Liang Wan, Shanyong Wang, Liang Liang
    2026, 34 (11):  370-381.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.1664
    Abstract ( 107 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (1090KB) ( 17 )   Save

    In the context of digital and intelligent transformation, exploring the impact of industrial robot applications on the green transformation and upgrading of corporate production methods is of great significance. An econometric model is constructed to examine the influence of industrial robot usage on enterprise green total factor productivity and employs panel data for empirical analysis. The empirical results indicate that the use of industrial robots significantly promotes enterprise GTFP, with this effect being more pronounced in technology-intensive enterprises, regions with higher marketization levels, eastern regions, and larger enterprises. Mechanism tests suggest that the influence of industrial robot usage on green total factor productivity operates through two main pathways: optimizing the structure of factor allocation within enterprises and enhancing their green innovation capabilities. It aims to open up the "black box" of how industrial robot usage affects firms' green total factor productivity, contributing to a better understanding of how industrial robots as a form of green productivity can drive the green and low-carbon transformation of enterprises. It provides theoretical insights for governments focused on improving green total factor productivity while guiding enterprises toward the adoption of sustainable green production practices.

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    Research on Internal Contract Coordination and External Incentive Mechanisms in Blockchain Technology-enabled Dual-channel Low-carbon Supply Chains
    Guohua Qu, Ru He, Weihua Qu, Di Wang
    2026, 34 (11):  382-395.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2026.0370
    Abstract ( 8 )   HTML ( 1 )   PDF (4668KB) ( 8 )   Save

    As e-commerce and the green transition continue to advance, dual-channel low-carbon supply chains face challenges arising from channel competition, emission-reduction externalities, and insufficient credibility of low-carbon information. This paper constructs a manufacturer-led Stackelberg model. With the carbon emission reduction rate and low-carbon marketing effort exogenously given, it examines the impacts of the sequential introduction of cost-sharing contracts, government subsidies, and blockchain technology on pricing, profit allocation, and social welfare. Furthermore, it extends the analysis to platform-led commission decisions and the performance differences under various power structures. The main findings are as follows: Cost-sharing contracts mainly adjust the distribution of member profits without changing equilibrium prices and social welfare; introducing government subsidies on the basis of contracts can increase wholesale prices, lower offline retail prices, and increase both the profits of supply chain members and social welfare; further introducing blockchain technology can expand market demand by improving the transparency and credibility of low-carbon information, thereby enhancing the synergy between internal contracts and external incentives. However, its net benefit is constrained by unit value-added revenue, variable costs, and fixed costs. In the platform-led scenario, the platform-selected commission rate may exceed the welfare-maximizing level, resulting in an excessively high commission rate. This paper reveals the sequential relationship among internal cost sharing, external policy incentives, and blockchain technology, providing decision-making references for the governance of dual-channel low-carbon supply chains under the digital economy.

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    Optimal Operation of Multi-regional Integrated Energy System under Extreme Scenarios based on Conditional Value-at-risk and Cooperative Games
    Zhihao Wu, Guoqing Wang, Jianming Zhu, Jun Huang
    2026, 34 (11):  396-407.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.2269
    Abstract ( 16 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (3343KB) ( 20 )   Save

    The interaction of energy systems at a regional level can facilitate the low-carbon and flexible operation of integrated energy systems (RIESs). However, uncertainties in energy demand and renewable energy outputs present challenges to the stable operation of M-RIESs, particularly in the context of extreme scenarios of energy demand and renewable energy outputs, which can result in significant economic losses. In light of the aforementioned issues, a multi-regional integrated energy system optimization methodology is put forth that considers conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) and cooperative games, which takes into account the correlation between energy demand and renewable energy output as well as the extreme scenarios. This methodology identifies the extreme scenarios and retains them in the subsequent scenario reduction. Firstly, the probability distribution functions of energy demand and renewable energy output are modelled with high accuracy using Gaussian mixture models. Subsequently, the correlation between energy demand and renewable energy output in the RIES is modelled using the Frank-Copula function. Ultimately, the point-to-point trading of electricity, heat and natural gas among multiple RIESs is optimized by the energy cooperation and scheduling strategy, which is based on the cooperative games and the adaptive alternating direction multiplier algorithm. Furthermore, a bargaining game revenue allocation method is proposed to ensure the stable operation of the alliance, taking into account the fairness and renewable energy consumption. The case studies demonstrate that the proposed model is more conducive to enhancing the system’s resilience, reducing the system’s potential risk losses, achieving flexible resource complementarity among RIESs, improving the economic efficiency of RIESs, increasing the rate of renewable energy consumption and reducing carbon emissions than the model that does not take into account extreme scenarios.

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    The Diffusion of Low-carbon Technologies in Coal-fired Power Generation Based on Enterprise Behavioral Decision-making under the Interactions of Electricity-carbon Markets
    Qinliang Tan, Yi Wang, Jian Han, Yihong Ding, Jiaming He
    2026, 34 (11):  408-420.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0020
    Abstract ( 15 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (6001KB) ( 5 )   Save

    Stimulating enterprises to spontaneously adopt low-carbon technologies by utilizing market-based means is regarded as a way that is more in accordance with the theory of enterprise behavioral decision-making. However, the environment of corporate investment and decision-making increasingly complex under the coupling effects between electricity market and carbon trading market. The change is prone to inducing the risk of rising transaction costs, which affects the dynamic process of low-carbon technology diffusion. Therefore, a coal-fired power enterprises low-carbon technology diffusion decision-making model is constructed based on complex social network and the profit-driven logic. Based on the behavior logic driven by enterprise profit motives, a decision-making model is constructed for low-carbon technology diffusion in coal-fired power enterprises within complex social networks. This explores how market mechanisms and policy tools can be effectively combined under the linkage of electricity and carbon markets to promote the low-carbon transition of coal-fired power enterprises. It is found that an increase in the number of independently decision-making enterprises aids in accelerating technology diffusion; there are significant differences in the impact mechanisms of market incentives on different types of low-carbon technologies, and relying solely on the current internal synergy of the electricity and carbon markets is insufficient to promote the diffusion of carbon capture technologies. Furthermore, differentiated policies and intrinsic carbon pricing mechanisms can steadily advance the diffusion of low-carbon technologies while avoiding transaction risks induced by jagged fluctuations in annual carbon emissions curves.

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    Operating Room Scheduling by Integrating Machine Learning with Stochastic Programming
    Hongpu Wang, Yang Wang, Daiqiang Yin
    2026, 34 (11):  421-432.  doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2025.0797
    Abstract ( 188 )   HTML ( 0 )   PDF (1242KB) ( 22 )   Save

    The operating room constitutes a critical unit within hospital operations, with its efficiency exerting a direct impact on surgical patient throughput and overall healthcare service quality. Consequently, advance development of a well-designed surgery schedule is essential for optimizing resource utilization and enhancing patient satisfaction. A particular challenge arises from the fact that patients typically require postoperative care in intensive care units or general wards, necessitating the explicit incorporation of downstream resource capacities into surgical planning. Failure to do so may result in surgery delays, cancellations, or suboptimal allocation of hospital resources. Motivated by these considerations, the surgical scheduling problem under uncertainty with downstream resource constraints is investigated, where surgery durations, postoperative recovery durations, and emergency arrivals are uncertain. Traditional sample average approximation (SAA) approaches often become computationally intractable as the number of scenarios increases, limiting their applicability to large-scale problems. To address this challenge, a hybrid algorithm is developed that integrates machine learning with stochastic programming. Specifically, a stochastic programming model is first formulated and solved on training instances to obtain benchmark solutions. A heuristic method is then applied to identify a representative scenario such that the objective value of the solution obtained by solving the model in this scenario closely aligns with the benchmark. Using instance features and the representative scenario as input, a training dataset is constructed to develop a machine learning model. Once trained, the model can directly predict representative scenarios for new problem instances, effectively converting the stochastic optimization problem into a deterministic one. This transformation enables the rapid generation of high-quality surgical schedules. Extensive computational experiments are conducted using realistic hospital data sourced from the literature. The results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid algorithm achieves a remarkable reduction in computation time while preserving solution quality. Compared with the traditional SAA method, the proposed approach reduces average solution time from 1635.27 seconds to 1.83 seconds—an improvement of nearly three orders of magnitude—while keeping the optimality gap within 1%. These findings not only demonstrate a novel methodological framework for surgery scheduling under uncertainty but also represent a significant advancement in computational efficiency. The study underscores the potential of hybrid data-driven optimization techniques in addressing complex healthcare scheduling challenges.

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